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El Niño fears not over despite July monsoon revival

El Niño fears not over despite July monsoon revival
Despite recent monsoon revival, why El Niño fears are not over yet · indianexpress.com

Monsoon is the rainy season in India that farmers need to grow their food.

At the start of this monsoon season, in June, there was very little rain — actually the sixth least rainy June since 1901.

That meant farmers could not plant as many crops as the year before.

Then in July, the rain suddenly came back and was even a little more than normal.

Farmers quickly planted more crops, so the gap with last year became much smaller.

But there is a weather pattern called El Niño, which is warm water in the Pacific Ocean that can make rain go away.

El Niño is getting stronger, and scientists think it will become very strong between October and December.

If that happens, the next growing season's crops, like wheat, could suffer.

Also, the price of food, especially vegetable oil, has gone up around the world.

The government says it has big reserves of rice and wheat, so it can help keep food prices from rising too much.

Key facts

June rainfall deficit
38% below long-period average; sixth driest June since 1901
July rainfall
2.4% above the long-period average
Kharif sowings by July 6
350.85 lakh hectares, 20.8% below last year
Kharif sowings by July-end
894.22 lakh hectares, 2.9% below last year
El Niño status
Moderate-to-strong, expected 'very strong' in October-December 2026
FAO food price index (July)
131.1 points, three-and-a-half-year high
Vegetable oils index (July)
195.7 points, up 17.3% year-on-year
Government grain stocks (July 1)
92.6 million tonnes of rice and wheat vs 41.1 mt minimum

Quotes

D.N. Pathak

Executive director, Indore‑based Soybean Processors Association of India

“Overall, the crop condition is normal to good. Healthy vegetative growth is being observed in most areas, with no major insect pest or disease incidence reported during field inspections.”
indianexpress.com

Sources

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