6 days ago

Nepal Glacier Avalanche Exposes Cascading Himalayan Disaster Risks

Nepal Glacier Avalanche Exposes Cascading Himalayan Disaster Risks
Could Nepal's Disaster Have Been Foreseen? · rediff.com

A large piece of ice and rock broke away high in the Himalayas.

It rushed downhill and blocked a river, making a temporary dam.

When the dam broke, a powerful flood spread through valleys in Nepal.

The event was first mistaken for an earthquake because the collapse caused ground vibrations.

More than 160 people had died, and many tourists were still missing.

Scientists say warmer temperatures are making glaciers and mountain slopes less stable.

Satellites can find some dangers after they form, but they cannot reliably predict exactly when a slope will collapse.

Experts want sensors, better warning systems and less construction along rivers.

They say disasters must be studied as connected chains rather than as separate events.

Key facts

Confirmed deaths
More than 160 as of Thursday morning
Missing people
Nearly 600 tourists remained unaccounted for
Initial seismic reading
A seismic signal from the glacier collapse, not an earthquake
Disaster sequence
Glacier avalanche, temporary natural dam, dam breach and downstream flood
Main climate factor
Global warming and sudden temperature-driven meltwater release
Detection limits
Satellites can detect formed lakes and slope movement but cannot reliably predict a collapse in advance
Recommended measures
Avoid riverbank construction and install river sensors to monitor sudden water-level changes

Quotes

Dr Vikram Gupta

Engineering geologist at Sikkim University who studies landslide risk across the Himalaya

“We have been learning this same lesson for the last ten to fifteen years: We need to stop encroaching on our rivers and start respecting their land.”
rediff.com
“This is no longer a single-hazard problem; it is a cascading, multi-hazard problem. A landslide never occurs in isolation.”
rediff.com

Sources

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