3 weeks ago

WMO Forecasts Strong El Niño to Intensify Heat, Disrupt India Monsoon

WMO Forecasts Strong El Niño to Intensify Heat, Disrupt India Monsoon
Strong El Niño to fuel heat spike, disrupt rainfall patterns across India from August · telegraphindia.com

A big weather pattern called El Niño is getting stronger, and it can make some places much hotter and drier.

The World Meteorological Organisation, a group of weather experts, says this will happen from August to October.

India will feel this change a lot, with hotter weather and less rain than usual.

This matters because many farmers in India need monsoon rain to grow food.

Scientists say the ocean is getting warmer too, which makes the weather change even stronger.

There is also another weather pattern called the Indian Ocean Dipole that might bring some extra rain to help.

Even the weather experts disagree—some think there will be much less rain, while others think the rain will be mostly okay.

People who study the Earth say that burning fossil fuels like coal and oil is making this problem worse.

The leader of the United Nations warned that this is just the beginning of hotter times.

Key facts

Forecasting body
World Meteorological Organisation (WMO), Geneva
Sea surface temperature rise
About 2.9°C during August-October
Forecast Indian Ocean Dipole
Positive phase, seasonal mean of 0.6°C
IMD rainfall forecast
Less than 94 per cent of long-term average during August-September
Period of impact
August-October 2026
Affected region
Indian subcontinent; hotter in northern, central and western India

Quotes

Mrutyunjay Mohapatra

Director-general of the India Meteorological Department

“We expect less than 94 per cent rainfall, compared with the long-term average, during August-September while the temperature will also increase in certain parts of the country.”
telegraphindia.com
“El Niño is not just on our doorstep — it is inside the house and turning up the heat. And this is only a warm-up act.”
telegraphindia.com

Sources

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