Politics · Brazil · 53 mins ago
Why changing votes may be difficult in Brazil’s election
A political analysis of Brazil’s election says changing votes may be especially difficult in the short time before the runoff.
It describes voters divided between supporters of Lula and Bolsonaro, with strong rejection of the other side.
For some, voting is a way to avoid the other candidate winning, not simply a choice between policies.
Years of hostility and group loyalty can make switching feel like betraying one’s side.
Admitting a change can also mean accepting that an earlier choice was wrong, which carries an emotional cost.
The analysis says Lula has lost votes that he probably received in the previous election, showing that votes can shift over time.
It is unclear whether changes that took four years to develop can happen again in 15 days.
Independent voters may decide the outcome if they are less tied to either political camp.
Changing votes in Brazil’s election may be difficult because many voters strongly reject the opposing candidate.
The article says voting to prevent the other side from winning can make voters less open to changing their choice.
Political identity, loyalty to a group and the emotional cost of admitting a past choice was wrong can also discourage switching.
Years of hostility and resentment between political camps may make arguments from the opposing side less persuasive.
Lula has lost votes that may have been his in the previous election, but the article says it is uncertain whether changes that took four years can happen again in 15 days.
- Who
- Brazilian voters, including supporters of Lula and Bolsonaro and so-called independents.
- What
- The article examines why voters may find it difficult to change their choice in the election.
- When
- Published on October 13, 2026; the article asks whether changes seen over four years can happen again in 15 days.
- Where
- Brazil.
- Why
- Rejection of the opposing candidate, political identity, loyalty, emotional costs and accumulated resentment can make voters resistant to changing sides.
This story does not have two clearly opposing sides.
The article says alternation in power in 2022 showed that votes can be reversed.
The article says Lula has lost votes that probably went to him in the previous election.
Folha published the article, asking whether electoral changes that took four years can happen again in 15 days.
- Published
- October 13, 2026
- Election
- Brazil’s 2026 election
- Previous election
- 2022
- Time frame raised
- 15 days
- Political figures named
- Lula and Bolsonaro
What people are saying
O que não sabemos é se aquilo que levou quatro anos para se materializar nas urnas pode acontecer novamente em 15 dias.
Mudar de voto significa abandonar os seus, romper solidariedades, trair valores.









