Politics · Brazil · 1 hr ago
Datafolha to publish new Lula–Flávio Bolsonaro runoff poll on Thursday
Datafolha is set to publish a new poll on Brazil’s presidential runoff between Lula of the Workers’ Party and Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party.
The results are due Thursday, Oct.
15, from 6:30 p.m.
The survey was conducted from Oct.
13 to 15 with 2,520 people and a two-point margin of error.
In the previous poll, released Oct.
8, Bolsonaro had 52% and Lula 48% of valid votes.
These figures show voter opinion when the survey was conducted; they are not a prediction of the final election result.
Datafolha director Luciana Chong and columnists Mônica Bergamo and Fábio Zanini are due to discuss the results in a live broadcast.
Datafolha will publish a new poll on the presidential runoff between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro on Thursday, October 15, from 18:30.
The poll was conducted from October 13 to 15 with 2,520 respondents and has a margin of error of two percentage points.
The survey is registered with Brazil’s electoral justice system under code BR-00466/2026.
A poll released on October 8 found Flávio Bolsonaro with 52% of valid votes and Lula with 48% in a runoff.
Datafolha’s director Luciana Chong and columnists Mônica Bergamo and Fábio Zanini will discuss the results in a livestream.
- Who
- Datafolha is polling voters on a runoff between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro.
- What
- A new presidential runoff voting-intention poll will be released.
- When
- Thursday, October 15, from 18:30. Fieldwork took place from October 13 to 15.
- Where
- Not stated
- Why
- The poll measures voter opinion at the time it is conducted; it is not a prediction of the final election result.
This story does not have two clearly opposing sides.
A previous poll found Flávio Bolsonaro with 52% of valid runoff votes and Lula with 48%.
Datafolha conducted the new poll with 2,520 respondents.
Datafolha is due to publish the results, which will be discussed in a livestream.
- Candidates
- Lula (PT) and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL)
- Sample
- 2,520 respondents
- Margin of error
- Two percentage points
- Fieldwork
- October 13–15
- Registration code
- BR-00466/2026
Sources
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