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Global Diesel Crisis Deepens as India Largely Escapes Supply Crunch

Global Diesel Crisis Deepens as India Largely Escapes Supply Crunch
Global diesel crisis deepens – Has India managed to escape the supply crunch? · financialexpress.com

The world is running low on a special fuel called diesel that powers trucks, farms and factories.

Wars and unrest in Russia and Iran have made it harder for countries to get this fuel.

Europe has been hit especially hard - its diesel stockpiles are at the lowest levels since 2014, and the profit margin on making diesel hit a record high.

India has many big factories, called refineries, that turn thick crude oil into diesel.

Because India makes more fuel than it needs, it has escaped the shortage and has even been sending diesel to Europe.

India also buys cheap oil from Russia, and in July more than half of its imported oil came from there, which has drawn criticism from the United States.

Experts say that if India stopped buying so much Russian oil, its oil bill could rise by 5-10 billion dollars in a year and push up prices a little.

Countries near India are not as lucky - Bangladesh is facing its worst power crisis in years because there is not enough natural gas to make electricity.

Bangladesh has asked India to send extra diesel, and India already supplies some through a pipeline called the Bangladesh-India Friendship Pipeline.

Pakistan has also raised petrol and diesel prices because international oil prices keep going up and down.

Key facts

IEA export data
Russian, Middle East and Asian diesel exports down 1.3 million bpd year-on-year (~20% of global seaborne trade)
Jet fuel export data
Down ~670,000 bpd year-on-year, equal to 34% of global trade
European diesel stockpiles
Lowest since 2014
European diesel profit margin
Record $74.66 per barrel in late July
India's July diesel exports to Europe
Estimated 4.2-5 million barrels
India's FY26 high-speed diesel exports
27.3 million metric tonnes (Petroleum Planning and Analysis Cell data, March)
Russia's share of India's July crude imports
Over 55.5% - a record ~2.8 million bpd (Kpler)
India-Bangladesh diesel supply
Around 5,000 metric tonnes via the Bangladesh-India Friendship Pipeline

Quotes

Ministry of External Affairs of India

Representative from India's foreign ministry

“India is the world’s fourth largest refiner and fifth largest exporter of petroleum products, supplying refined fuel to over 150 countries. Because India is a net exporter to the world, domestic petrol and diesel availability is structurally assured. All 1 lakh-plus retail fuel outlets across the country are open and dispensing fuel without interruption. Not a single outlet has been asked to ration supply.”
financialexpress.com
“If we have to reduce our purchases from Russia by 50%, then it will have an impact on the oil import bill of 5-10 billion dollars for the entire year. Its impact on inflation will be about 0.3 percentage point increase. And if the government does not increase the price of petrol and diesel on us, then we will be able to save ourselves from it.”
financialexpress.com

Sources

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