3 weeks ago

US Treasury yields rise as oil climbs before jobs report

US Treasury yields rise as oil climbs before jobs report
US Treasury yields rise as oil climbs before jobs report · livemint.com

Governments borrow money by selling special savings notes called Treasury bonds.

When people worry, they buy these notes, and when they feel safer, they sell them.

This week, many people worried about a very important waterway called the Strait of Hormuz.

A country called Iran said it might stop ships from the United States and Israel from using it.

That made the price of oil jump, because lots of oil travels through that waterway.

When oil gets more expensive, many other things can get more expensive too.

Because of this worry, the income on US Treasury notes went up on Thursday.

Investors were also waiting to see how many new jobs were created last month.

A big government report about jobs was coming the next day.

So the markets were nervous, watching to see what would happen next.

Key facts

2-year Treasury yield
4.252% (up 7.26 basis points)
10-year Treasury yield
4.674% (up 5.67 basis points)
Yield curve (2s/10s)
42 basis points
Expected July job growth
80,000 jobs (Reuters poll)
Unemployment rate
4.2% (expected to hold steady)
Weekly jobless claims
Increased slightly last week
July layoffs
Dropped to a two-year low
Fed rate hike odds (September)
59% per fed funds futures traders

Quotes

Will Compernolle

Macro strategist at FHN Financial

“"Even if there is a weak report tomorrow (Friday), people will consider it noise for the time being because there are so many other signs of strength and it doesn't seem to be guiding the inflation trajectory or the Fed's policy path."”
livemint.com
“"It's better that the strait is open than it is not. But the longer that this back and forth goes on, the more I think it weighs on inflation expectations, it'll weigh on growth."”
livemint.com

Sources

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