Politics · Brazil · 1 day ago
Poll puts Flávio Bolsonaro ahead of Lula in Brazil runoff
A poll in Brazil found Senator Flávio Bolsonaro ahead of President Lula in a possible second round of the presidential election.
Among valid votes, which exclude blank and invalid ballots and undecided voters, Bolsonaro had 52.7% and Lula had 47.3%.
In the poll’s full results, Bolsonaro had 49% and Lula 44%, with others choosing blank or invalid ballots or unsure.
The poll interviewed 1,500 voters by phone from October 6 to 8, and its stated margin of error is 2.6 percentage points.
Bolsonaro received 47.03% of valid votes in the first round on October 4, while Lula received 45.16%.
The poll is an estimate of voter intentions, not the result of a runoff election.
An Ipespe/Abrapel poll puts Flávio Bolsonaro ahead of President Lula in a possible second-round presidential vote in Brazil.
Among valid votes, Bolsonaro has 52.7% and Lula has 47.3%, the poll says.
In the poll’s total-vote measure, Bolsonaro has 49% and Lula has 44%.
The survey interviewed 1,500 voters by telephone from October 6 to 8.
The poll was released on October 10 and has a margin of error of 2.6 percentage points.
- Who
- Senator Flávio Bolsonaro and President Lula.
- What
- An Ipespe/Abrapel poll puts Bolsonaro ahead of Lula in a possible presidential runoff.
- When
- The survey was conducted from October 6 to 8 and released on October 10, 2026.
- Where
- Brazil.
- Why
- The poll measured voters’ preferences in a possible second-round election.
This story does not have two clearly opposing sides.
No direct quotes in the coverage so far.
Flávio Bolsonaro received 47.03% of valid votes and Lula received 45.16% in the first round.
Ipespe/Abrapel interviewed 1,500 voters by telephone.
Ipespe/Abrapel released its poll showing Bolsonaro ahead of Lula in a possible runoff.
- Valid-vote estimate
- Bolsonaro 52.7%; Lula 47.3%
- Total-vote estimate
- Bolsonaro 49%; Lula 44%
- Sample
- 1,500 voters interviewed by telephone
- Survey dates
- October 6–8, 2026
- Margin of error
- 2.6 percentage points
Sources
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