2 weeks ago

Cloudy Yen Outlook Raises Bar for Japan's Earnings Beats

Cloudy Yen Outlook Raises Bar for Japan's Earnings Beats
Cloudy Yen Outlook Raises the Bar for Japan’s Earnings Beats · livemint.com

Many big companies in Japan, like car makers, camera makers, and medicine makers, sell their products to people in other countries.

When the yen, Japan's money, is weak, those companies earn more money.

This year, lots of Japanese companies announced they earned more money than people expected.

But investors, the people who buy parts of companies, did not get excited.

They are worried the government might make the yen stronger.

If the yen becomes stronger, companies might earn less money in the future.

Some companies, like camera maker Canon and medicine maker Takeda, actually saw their stock prices go down after sharing good news.

Smart investors say companies should focus on selling more and making better products, not just on the weak yen.

The Bank of Japan will have a big meeting in September to decide about money, and everyone will be watching.

Key facts

Currency risk
Yen volatility and possible further intervention to bolster the yen
Earnings season
April-June quarter, results largely exceeded analyst expectations
Beat performance this year
Underperformed MSCI Japan Index by 0.5% the day after results
Beat performance last year
Outperformed MSCI Japan Index by 1% the day after results
Honda forex gain
¥91 billion added to first-quarter operating profit
Stocks falling despite beats
Canon Inc. and Takeda Pharmaceutical Co.
Bank of Japan meeting
Policy meeting scheduled in September
Comparison shock
Sharp yen appreciation in summer 2024

Quotes

Benzimra, Frank

Head of Asia equity strategy, Societe Generale

“"The mood is cautious now," said Frank Benzimra, head of Asia equity strategy at Societe Generale. "The yen is certainly a risk to watch for the equity market."”
livemint.com
“"You’re going to see more and more questions on whether the BOJ should be tightening" ahead of its policy meeting in September.”
livemint.com

Sources

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