2 months ago

India's August Monsoon: Shifting Troughs and El Nino's Impact

India's August Monsoon: Shifting Troughs and El Nino's Impact
India's August Monsoon: Decoding Impact Of Shifting Troughs And El Nino · NDTV

Every summer, India gets a big rainy season called the monsoon.

It happens because the land gets very hot and pulls in cool, wet air from the ocean.

The rain is very important because it helps farmers grow food and gives people water.

There is a special weather line called the monsoon trough that decides where the rain falls.

Sometimes a big storm holds the trough in one place, so one part of the country gets lots of rain.

In late July, central India got heavy rain because of this.

Now the trough is moving north, so northern and eastern parts of India will get good rain for about a week.

But experts say the rain will slow down after August 11 or 12.

This dry stretch is called a 'break monsoon' and could last until the end of August.

A weather pattern called El Nino far away in the ocean may be part of the reason.

Key facts

Monsoon season
June to September (roughly 4 months)
Main driver
Temperature difference between hot land and cooler Indian Ocean
Monsoon trough
Broad low-pressure zone from Northwest India to the Bay of Bengal
Heavy rain Aug 5-7
East India and northeast India: Bihar, West Bengal, Jharkhand, Odisha, Assam, Meghalaya, Arunachal Pradesh
Heavy rain Aug 7-9
East Rajasthan, North Madhya Pradesh, southwest Uttar Pradesh
Break Monsoon expected
After August 11-12, potentially lasting until end of August
July rainfall
Surplus
August outlook
Expected to end slightly below normal due to El Nino's impact

Quotes

Mahesh Palawat

Vice President of Meteorology and Climate Change at Skymet Weather

“Monsoon often sustains in India without external help. Monsoon axis and formation of cyclonic circulation in the Bay of Bengal is sufficient enough to generate fairly widespread clouds that lead to rains in north and east India.”
NDTV
“Earlier, the deep depression was over central parts of the country, and it weakened into a well‑marked low‑pressure area and gradually into a low‑pressure area, moving across South Gujarat and parts of Rajasthan.”
NDTV

Sources

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