3 weeks ago

Gold Jumps on Weak US Jobs Data, Rate-Hike Hopes

Gold Jumps on Weak US Jobs Data, Rate-Hike Hopes
Gold price jumps as reopening of Strait of Hormuz buzz dents US Fed rate-hike hopes. Is it the right time to buy gold? · livemint.com

Gold is a shiny metal that people like to buy when they are worried or when saving money gets less rewarding.

This week, the price of gold went up a lot—more than 8% in one week.

The big reason was a report that said fewer Americans had jobs last month than almost everyone expected.

That makes people think the central bank of the United States, called the Federal Reserve, will not make borrowing cost more.

Cheaper borrowing makes gold more attractive because gold doesn't pay interest like a bank account.

Another reason was news that Iran and Oman are close to an agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

That is a very important waterway where ships carry oil to the world.

If oil flows smoothly again, prices could stay calm, which also makes it less likely the Fed will raise rates.

So investors bought more gold, pushing its price to the highest level in seven weeks.

Experts say people should buy gold when the price dips a little, rather than at the very top.

Key facts

Gold weekly gain
More than 8%, reaching a seven-week high
July US payrolls
Lost 23,000 jobs vs ~80,000 expected; first decline in five months
Strait of Hormuz
US expects Iran-Oman agreement to reopen waterway and restore oil exports soon
September Fed hike odds
Fell to ~44% from ~58% before the jobs report
10-year Treasury yield
Eased to ~4.60% from an intraday high of 4.68%
COMEX gold levels
Support at $4,350; resistance at $4,450 per ounce
MCX October gold futures
Ended week near ₹1,52,000
Unemployment rate
Edged down to 4.1%

Quotes

Ponmudi R

CEO of Enrich Money, a financial advisory firm

“Gold prices are likely to remain highly sensitive to US inflation data, Federal Reserve communication, Treasury yields, the US dollar, and developments surrounding the Strait of Hormuz. The weaker US labour‑market data has strengthened the near‑term fundamental backdrop for gold and silver, and any further decline in Treasury yields or the dollar could provide additional support for bullion.”
livemint.com

Anuj Gupta

SEBI‑registered market expert

“Cooling crude oil prices are putting pressure on the US treasury yields and the US Dollar, as a smooth supply of crude oil prices is expected to contain inflation, and hence the US Fed rate hike looks unlikely in such a scenario.”
livemint.com

Sources

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