1 hr ago
Quick commerce projected to drive half of India’s e-retail growth
Quick commerce means ordering products online and getting them very quickly.
A new report says this business could become a major part of India’s online shopping growth.
It may be worth $65-70 billion by 2030.
Companies may also build many more small warehouses called dark stores.
India’s entire e-commerce market could nearly triple by 2030.
More people from smaller cities are expected to shop online.
Artificial intelligence could make online retail more productive and personalized.
Companies still face problems such as fraud, returns, changing rules and pressure to make profits.
Quick commerce could contribute 45-50% of India’s incremental e-retail growth through 2030.
The segment is projected to reach $65-70 billion in value by 2030.
India’s dark-store network could nearly triple from 2,525 facilities in 2025 to about 7,500 by 2030.
The broader e-commerce market is forecast to grow from $125 billion in 2024 to $345 billion by 2030.
Blinkit led quick commerce with a 44% FY26 share, followed by Zepto at 25% and Swiggy Instamart at 20%.
- Who
- Indian e-commerce companies, online shoppers and quick-commerce platforms including Blinkit, Zepto and Swiggy Instamart.
- What
- A report by Infisum forecasts strong growth for India’s quick-commerce and broader e-retail markets through 2030.
- Where
- India, including its Tier II and Tier III cities.
- When
- The projections cover the period through 2030, with comparisons to 2024, 2025 and FY26 data.
- Why
- Growth is expected to be driven by rising disposable incomes, wider internet access, faster digital adoption and increasing demand from new online shoppers.
Key facts
- Quick-commerce value by 2030
- Estimated at $65-70 billion.
- Share of incremental e-retail growth
- Projected at 45-50% through 2030.
- Dark stores
- Expected to increase from 2,525 in 2025 to around 7,500 by 2030.
- Overall e-commerce market
- Projected to rise from $125 billion in 2024 to $345 billion in 2030, a CAGR of 18.4%.
- FY26 quick-commerce shares
- Blinkit 44%, Zepto 25% and Swiggy Instamart 20%.
- Online shoppers by 2030
- Expected to reach 420-440 million, including nearly 150 million new shoppers.
- Projected AI productivity improvement
- AI and machine learning could improve retail productivity by 35-37% by 2030.
Quotes
Badri Narayanan Gopalakrishnan
Fellow at Niti Aayog
“Quick commerce is permanent infrastructure, not a trend. Valued at $65-70 billion by 2030, it will drive 45-50% of incremental e-retail growth”
financialexpress.com







