1 week ago

Oil Falls as Iran War Diplomacy Eases Hormuz Fears

Oil Falls as Iran War Diplomacy Eases Hormuz Fears
Oil Falls on Fresh Iran War Diplomacy, Talks on Hormuz · livemint.com

Oil prices went down because investors saw signs that countries might be able to reduce fighting involving Iran.

Pakistan’s army chief visited Iran, and Iran and Oman discussed a plan for improving shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

The United States announced new economic restrictions on Iran.

However, it did not immediately punish countries such as China for buying Iranian oil.

Because the measures were less severe than expected, traders did not think oil supplies would suddenly fall.

Diplomacy also made a wider military escalation seem less likely.

Oil is still much more expensive than it was at the beginning of the year.

This is because the war has disrupted energy shipping and attacks have damaged some Russian refineries.

Key facts

Brent crude
Settled below $89 a barrel after falling nearly 4%.
West Texas Intermediate
Settled just above $82 a barrel.
US measures
Restrictions were added on around 60 entities, including Iranian oil-revenue networks and shadow-fleet vessels.
Secondary sanctions
The United States did not immediately impose them on countries dealing with Iran, including China.
Strait of Hormuz
Iran and Oman discussed an interim framework aimed at resuming shipping through the strategic waterway.
Year-to-date oil prices
Crude remains about 45% higher this year.
Russian diesel exports
Russia is discussing extending its diesel-export ban for another month, according to a person familiar with the matter.

Quotes

Haris Khurshid

Chief investment officer at Chicago-based Karobaar Capital LP

“There was a lot of buildup around the announcement but what we got was more a warning about where policy is heading than an immediate shock to physical supply. Until secondary sanctions start changing who can buy, ship or even finance Iranian crude, I don’t think traders have much reason to add another geopolitical premium.”
livemint.com

Rebecca Babin

Senior energy trader at CIBC Private Wealth Group

“Positioning has moved from heavily short to more long, leaving the market vulnerable to profit-taking, while sanctions came in softer than feared and the diplomatic track appears to be gaining momentum. For now, more diplomacy, fewer signs of military escalation and improving flows are taking some of the geopolitical premium out of crude.”
livemint.com

Sources

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