Business · Markets · 1 day ago
US inflation data, Fed remarks and earnings set to shape stocks this week
US stocks may be influenced this week by new economic data, Federal Reserve remarks and company earnings.
The US Labor Department is scheduled to release September consumer inflation data on October 14 and producer inflation data on October 15.
Investors will use those figures to assess whether price pressures are easing and what the Fed may do with interest rates later this month.
Retail sales figures, due alongside producer inflation, will offer a view of consumer spending, which makes up about two-thirds of the US economy.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and other central bank officials are also due to speak, including at an event in Bangkok.
Major banks, including JPMorgan Chase, Citi and Goldman Sachs, are among the first companies set to report earnings for the third quarter.
Strong results could support stocks, while inflation that is higher than expected could affect rate expectations and market direction.
US stocks are expected to be shaped this week by inflation data, Federal Reserve remarks and the start of a busier earnings season.
The Labor Department is due to release September consumer price index data on October 14 and producer price index data on October 15.
Investors will also watch Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s remarks and September retail sales.
Major banks including Citi, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo and JPMorgan Chase are scheduled to report earnings on October 13.
FactSet forecasts third-quarter earnings per share for S&P 500 companies to rise 29.6% from a year earlier.
- Who
- US stock market investors, with attention on Fed officials and major US companies.
- What
- Inflation reports, Fed remarks and corporate earnings are expected to influence stocks this week.
- When
- October 12 to October 16, 2026.
- Where
- US stock markets; Warsh is scheduled to speak in Bangkok.
- Why
- Inflation readings may affect expectations for the Fed’s rate decision, while earnings and retail sales may indicate the health of companies and consumer spending.
This story does not have two clearly opposing sides.
The Fed needs to see a clear slowdown in core services inflation to be confident it does not need to respond to monetary policy as aggressively as the market expects
The Fed will take into account weakening employment signals, but the October rate decision will still depend on inflation
The probability of a rate hike later this month is currently below 20%, but that could change depending on next Wednesday’s CPI report
The week’s stock-market outlook period begins, and Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack is scheduled to speak.
Citi, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo and JPMorgan Chase are scheduled to report earnings, and several Fed officials are scheduled to speak.
The September CPI report is due, alongside earnings reports from Morgan Stanley, Bank of America and BlackRock.
The September PPI report and retail sales data are due, and Kevin Warsh is scheduled to take part in a discussion at the IMF-World Bank annual meetings in Bangkok.
- Week covered
- October 12–16, 2026
- September CPI release
- October 14
- September PPI release
- October 15
- Market forecast for September CPI
- 0.6% monthly increase overall; 0.2% for core CPI
- Market forecast for September retail sales
- 0.3% monthly increase
- FactSet S&P 500 earnings forecast
- Third-quarter earnings per share up 29.6% year over year
Sources
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