Politics · Brazil · 6 hrs ago
Polls put Flávio Bolsonaro ahead of Lula before Brazil runoff
Two polls conducted after Brazil’s first-round election put Senator Flávio Bolsonaro ahead of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.
They show Bolsonaro with just over 52% of valid votes, compared with about 47% to 48% for Lula.
In the first round, Bolsonaro received 47.03% of valid votes and Lula received 45.16%.
The runoff is scheduled for October 25, with few voters saying they are undecided.
The candidates have different regional strongholds: Bolsonaro did best in the South, Southeast, Center-West and North, while Lula led in the Northeast.
Their campaigns are working to win supporters from the other side and reduce non-voting.
The polls were conducted before runoff campaign advertising and major debates, so further surveys will show whether Bolsonaro’s lead holds.
The first two polls after Brazil’s first-round vote put Flávio Bolsonaro ahead of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the runoff.
Datafolha gave Bolsonaro 52% of valid votes and Lula 48%, while AtlasIntel/Bloomberg found 52.8% for Bolsonaro and 47.2% for Lula.
The runoff is scheduled for October 25, with the polls conducted before runoff campaign advertising and major debates began.
The first-round results showed Bolsonaro with 47.03% of valid votes and Lula with 45.16%.
- Who
- Flávio Bolsonaro and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva are competing in the runoff.
- What
- The first two post-first-round polls put Bolsonaro ahead of Lula.
- When
- The polls were published on October 8 and 9. The runoff is scheduled for October 25.
- Where
- Brazil.
- Why
- Not stated
This story does not have two clearly opposing sides.
No direct quotes in the coverage so far.
The last AtlasIntel poll cited in the article put Lula at 50.1% and Bolsonaro at 49.9% of valid votes.
Bolsonaro received 47.03% of valid votes and Lula received 45.16%.
Datafolha interviewed 2,520 people in person.
Datafolha published results showing Bolsonaro at 52% and Lula at 48% of valid votes.
AtlasIntel interviewed 5,026 people through digital recruitment.
AtlasIntel/Bloomberg published results showing Bolsonaro at 52.8% and Lula at 47.2% of valid votes.
- Runoff date
- October 25
- Datafolha
- Bolsonaro 52%; Lula 48% of valid votes
- AtlasIntel/Bloomberg
- Bolsonaro 52.8%; Lula 47.2% of valid votes
- Datafolha sample
- 2,520 people; margin of error 2 percentage points
- AtlasIntel sample
- 5,026 people; margin of error 1 percentage point
Sources
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