Business · Economy · 2 hrs ago
IMF expects Australia’s unemployment rate to rise to 4.7% in 2027
The International Monetary Fund expects Australia’s unemployment rate to rise from 4.4% this year to 4.7% in 2027.
That would mean nearly 800,000 Australians out of work, according to the forecast.
Australia is still expected to have one of the faster-growing economies among developed countries, with growth of 1.9% this year and 1.6% next year.
The IMF expects unemployment to stay steady or fall slightly in most other rich countries over the same period.
It also forecasts Australian inflation will ease from 3.9% this year to 3.1% in 2027.
Higher unemployment may help bring prices down, but the IMF warns that global economic resilience is under strain.
It says governments face risks from rising borrowing costs and debt, while gains from the artificial intelligence boom are concentrated in a small number of firms and economies.
The International Monetary Fund expects Australia’s unemployment rate to rise from 4.4 per cent in 2026 to 4.7 per cent in 2027.
The increase would be the largest among developed economies, according to the IMF outlook.
At 4.7 per cent, the number of Australians out of work could approach 800,000.
The IMF forecasts Australia’s economy will grow by 1.9 per cent in 2026 and 1.6 per cent in 2027.
The IMF expects Australia’s inflation rate to fall from 3.9 per cent in 2026 to 3.1 per cent in 2027.
- Who
- The International Monetary Fund (IMF) made the forecast.
- What
- Australia’s unemployment rate is expected to rise to 4.7 per cent in 2027.
- When
- The forecast was reported on October 13, 2026; it concerns 2027.
- Where
- Australia.
- Why
- Not stated
This story does not have two clearly opposing sides.
The IMF released its six-monthly economic outlook, including forecasts for Australia.
The IMF expects Australia’s unemployment rate to reach 4.7 per cent.
- Unemployment rate in 2026
- 4.4 per cent
- Unemployment rate in 2027
- 4.7 per cent
- Australians out of work in 2027
- Could approach 800,000
- Economic growth in 2026
- 1.9 per cent
- Economic growth in 2027
- 1.6 per cent
What people are saying
This resilience is under strain. Without shoring up supply capacity and replenishing policy buffers, the global economy could soon test the limits of resilience.









