Business · Markets · 14 hrs ago
Banks expect the Mexican peso to weaken further by the end of 2026
The Mexican peso weakened against the US dollar, losing 1.4% in the week covered.
It closed at more than 18.41 pesos per dollar, its weakest close since November 24 of the previous year.
Banorte and Banamex now expect the peso to be weaker at the end of 2026 and 2027 than they had previously forecast.
Banorte predicts 18.10 pesos per dollar at the end of 2026 and 17.80 at the end of 2027.
Banamex expects 18.12 at the end of 2026 and 18.48 in 2027.
A survey of 37 financial firms put the average forecast for the end of 2026 at 18 pesos per dollar, with estimates ranging from 16.80 to 18.80.
A weaker peso means more pesos are needed to buy each US dollar.
Banorte and Banamex expect the Mexican peso to be weaker against the US dollar at the end of 2026 than they had previously forecast.
Banorte raised its year-end forecast from 17.30 to 18.10 pesos per dollar.
Banamex raised its forecast from 17.57 to 18.12 pesos per dollar.
The peso lost 1.4% over the week and closed Friday at 18.41 per dollar, its weakest close since November 24 of the previous year.
A private-sector survey put the consensus year-end forecast at 18 pesos per dollar.
- Who
- Banorte and Banamex raised their forecasts for the Mexican peso.
- What
- Both banks expect the peso to be weaker against the US dollar at the end of 2026.
- When
- The forecasts were reported on October 12, 2026. The peso’s reported Friday close was 18.41 per dollar.
- Where
- Mexico; the exchange rate is quoted in pesos per US dollar.
- Why
- Not stated
This story does not have two clearly opposing sides.
The peso lost 1.4% against the dollar.
The peso closed at 18.41 per dollar, its weakest close since November 24 of the previous year.
- Banorte year-end 2026 forecast
- 18.10 pesos per dollar, raised from 17.30
- Banamex year-end 2026 forecast
- 18.12 pesos per dollar, raised from 17.57
- Weekly peso change
- Lost 1.4%
- Friday close
- 18.41 pesos per dollar
- Private-sector consensus
- 18 pesos per dollar at year-end








