3 weeks ago
Emkay sees 40% growth for India's electronics manufacturing firms
India makes a lot of electronic things like phones, but many of the tiny parts inside are still bought from other countries.
A research company called Emkay studied this and thinks Indian electronics makers could grow very fast — more than 40% every year for the next five years.
That means the companies that build these products could nearly double their business every couple of years.
The Indian government is helping by giving lots of money to factories that make electronic parts and computer chips.
Right now India makes only about 1% of all the electronics in the world, but there is a plan to grow that to 6 to 7% by 2030.
Big companies like Apple and Samsung are already making more products in India.
Apple had 14 supplier companies in India in 2023 and more than 40 by 2025, and India built about 55 million iPhones in 2025.
The report says the biggest chances to grow are in data centres, power lines, car electronics, trains, circuit boards, and chip packaging.
Some companies like Syrma and Avalon are expected to do very well, while one company called Kaynes needs to be more careful because it has had trouble finishing its projects.
If all goes well, India could become one of the world's biggest places for making electronics.
Emkay Global Financial Services forecasts Indian electronics manufacturers can grow revenue more than 40% annually over the next five years.
India's electronics production rose from Rs 1.9 lakh crore in 2014-15 to Rs 13.1 lakh crore in 2025-26, with exports reaching Rs 4.2 lakh crore.
Government schemes (ECMS and India Semiconductor Mission 2.0) provide about Rs 1.7 lakh crore in support; ECMS projects production value of over Rs 4.4 lakh crore.
The report targets raising India's share of global electronics trade from about 1% to 6-7% by 2030, with NITI Aayog aiming for $500 billion in output.
Emkay rates Syrma SGS and Avalon as 'Buy' and Kaynes as 'Reduce', flagging execution concerns tied to Kaynes's Iskraemeco acquisition and delayed PCB plant.
- Who
- Emkay Global Financial Services published the report; electronics manufacturing (EMS) companies Syrma SGS, Avalon and Kaynes are covered; Apple and Samsung are expanding production; Union Minister Ashwini Vaishnaw and NITI Aayog are also referenced.
- What
- A sector report forecasting more than 40% annual revenue growth for Indian electronics manufacturers over five years, driven by government schemes, import substitution, deepening capabilities and export opportunities.
- Where
- India, including Samsung's Noida plant and Syrma SGS's planned PCB manufacturing plant in Andhra Pradesh.
- When
- The report is the latest sector study; it covers production data through 2025-26, notes 75 ECMS projects approved by March 2026, and references ISM 2.0, approved in July 2026, with an outlook to 2030.
- Why
- Government capital subsidies, rising domestic value addition, import substitution, and growing global demand across data centres, power grids, automotive electronics, railways, PCBs and semiconductor packaging.
Bullish view
Cautious view
Kaynes's expansion strategy
Bullish view
Kaynes is aggressively pushing into high-growth areas such as semiconductor packaging (OSAT) and PCB manufacturing, positioning itself for future electronics demand.
Cautious view
Emkay rates Kaynes 'Reduce', saying its push into new areas has moved faster than its ability to execute, citing an estimated Rs 1,100 crore in receivables from the Iskraemeco acquisition and repeated delays with its PCB plant.
India's global electronics ambitions
Bullish view
Government schemes worth about Rs 1.7 lakh crore and a shift from assembly to components and design can lift India's share of global electronics trade from 1% to 6-7% by 2030.
Cautious view
India still imports 90-95% of its semiconductors, 88% of bare PCBs and almost 100% of display modules, with domestic value addition at just 18-20% against a government target of over 35% by 2030.
Key facts
- Report published by
- Emkay Global Financial Services
- Forecast revenue growth
- Over 40% annually for the next five years
- India electronics production (2025-26)
- Rs 13.1 lakh crore, up from Rs 1.9 lakh crore in 2014-15
- Electronics exports (2025-26)
- Rs 4.2 lakh crore, up from Rs 38,200 crore in 2014-15
- Share of global electronics trade
- About 1% now; 6-7% target by 2030
- Government support
- About Rs 1.7 lakh crore ($20 billion) via ECMS and India Semiconductor Mission 2.0
- ECMS projects
- 75 approved by March 2026; projected production over Rs 4.4 lakh crore; nearly 65,000 direct jobs
- Emkay stock ratings
- Syrma SGS 'Buy' (target Rs 2,050), Avalon 'Buy' (target Rs 2,400), Kaynes 'Reduce' (target Rs 3,300)
Quotes
Union Minister Ashwini Vaishnaw
Indian Minister of Electronics and Information Technology
“India started with the manufacturing of finished products, then moved towards modules, followed by sub-modules, and has now progressed to the manufacturing of components,”
financialexpress.com









