3 hrs ago
India’s Growth Holds Firm as Q3 GDP Seen Near 7.5%
India’s economy is continuing to grow strongly.
A report from HSBC says the economy could grow by about 7.5% in the third quarter.
Factories produced more goods, and exports increased.
The government also spent more money on infrastructure projects.
Banks provided more loans, helping businesses and investment.
People’s spending stayed fairly steady, partly because fuel taxes were reduced.
However, higher prices, bad weather and costlier borrowing could slow growth for poorer families and informal workers.
HSBC remains generally confident because exports are strong and trade agreements may create more opportunities.
HSBC Global Investment Research estimates India’s third-quarter GDP growth at around 7.5%.
Industrial production grew 8% in August, while non-oil exports rose 21%.
Public capital expenditure increased about 25% during April-August, and credit grew 19% in September.
Manufacturing strengthened, with September’s flash PMI showing a sharp rise in new orders.
HSBC expects some moderation as policy support fades, with inflation, weather disruptions and borrowing costs posing risks.
- Who
- HSBC Global Investment Research assessed India’s economic outlook.
- What
- The report projects India’s third-quarter GDP growth at around 7.5%.
- Where
- India.
- When
- The report was released on Thursday; its indicators cover August, September and April-August.
- Why
- Growth is being supported by manufacturing, exports, investment, public spending and credit expansion.
Key facts
- Q3 GDP forecast
- Around 7.5%
- Industrial production
- Up 8% in August
- Non-oil exports
- Up 21% in August
- Public capital expenditure
- Up around 25% during April-August
- Credit growth
- 19% in September
- Positive indicators
- About 70% of indicators showed positive growth in August
- Key risks
- Rising inflation, weather disruptions and higher borrowing costs
Quotes
HSBC Global Investment Research
Research division that authored the economic report
“Overall, we are not too worried on growth”
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