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Crude Futures Rise Fourth Day on US-Iran Hormuz Fears

Crude Futures Rise Fourth Day on US-Iran Hormuz Fears
Crude oil futures surge up to 3% · thehansindia.com

Oil prices went up for the fourth day in a row.

The increase followed new fighting between the United States and Iran.

The United States struck rocket-launcher sites on Iran’s Larak Island.

Iran then fired missiles at American bases in the region.

Traders worried that the conflict could disrupt ships carrying oil.

The Strait of Hormuz is an important route for oil shipments.

Reports said only five tankers crossed the strait each day over the weekend.

Oil flows through the strait averaged 6.7 million barrels per day last week, compared with 20 million before the war.

An analyst expects Brent crude to stay between USD 85 and USD 95, with risks closer to the upper end.

Key facts

MCX September crude
Rs 8,216 per barrel, up Rs 232 or 2.91%
MCX October crude
Rs 7,947 per barrel, up Rs 100 or 1.27%
Brent crude
USD 90.98 per barrel, up USD 2.88 or 3.3%
WTI crude
USD 85.77 per barrel, up USD 2.37 or nearly 3%
Military escalation
The United States struck two rocket-launcher sites on Iran’s Larak Island, and Iran retaliated with missile attacks on American bases.
Tanker traffic
Visible tanker transits through the Strait of Hormuz fell to five vessels per day over the weekend.
Crude flows
Crude flows through the strait averaged 6.7 million barrels per day last week, compared with 20 million before the war.
Analyst outlook
Brent is expected to remain within USD 85-95, with risks shifting toward the upper end.

Quotes

Anindya Banerjee

Head of Commodity and Currency Research at Kotak Securities

“Mining the strait has always been this market's single biggest fear, because mines do not distinguish between flags and take months to clear, even the preparation is enough to reprice risk.”
freepressjournal.in thehansindia.com

Sources

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