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Oil Surges Above $90 as Hormuz Risks Intensify

Oil Surges Above $90 as Hormuz Risks Intensify
US Oil Tops $90 for First Time Since July Amid Fresh Strikes · livemint.com

Oil became more expensive after the United States and Iran exchanged new attacks.

The fighting made people worry that ships carrying oil might not safely pass through the Strait of Hormuz.

Two supertankers were reportedly hit while trying to leave the waterway, while another report described a tanker struck by three unidentified projectiles near Oman.

Oil shipments are still moving, but some ships have turned off their tracking signals.

Countries around the Persian Gulf are continuing to export some oil.

Traders think prices could rise further if the fighting causes bigger disruptions.

Diesel prices have risen especially sharply because fuel supplies are tight.

A large refinery in Abu Dhabi is operating at full capacity, helping provide diesel and jet fuel.

Key facts

WTI movement
West Texas Intermediate rose as much as 5.1% and topped $90, its first time above that level since late July.
Previous session
WTI had gained 2.8% in the previous session.
Brent price
Brent settled near $90 in the earlier report.
Shipping incidents
Two supertankers were reportedly hit by projectiles while exiting Hormuz; another tanker report described three unidentified projectiles near Oman.
Current oil flows
Crude exports continue through Hormuz, sometimes on tankers with transponders switched off.
Gulf exports
The UAE, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Iraq are still getting some barrels out.
Ruwais refinery
Abu Dhabi National Oil Company has restored the refinery to full capacity, boosting diesel and jet-fuel exports.

Quotes

Bart Melek

Global head of commodity strategy at TD Securities

“Traders reduced net crude oil positioning over the week as uncertainty persisted around the next phase of the Iran conflict. We continue to expect crude prices to move higher, as there are no signs that normal transit through the Strait of Hormuz will resume in the near term.”
thehindubusinessline.com

Salih Yilmaz and Will Hares

Bloomberg Intelligence analysts

“Adaptation to prolonged disruption through the Strait of Hormuz — with dark flows, bypass routes and recovering Gulf exports — has helped keep Brent below $100 a barrel. Yet renewed US-Iran hostilities underscore the risk that further disruption could quickly push an already constrained market into a much tighter balance.”
livemint.com

Sources

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