3 weeks ago

Dollar Rises as Oil Rally Fuels Inflation Concerns

Dollar Rises as Oil Rally Fuels Inflation Concerns
Dollar Heads for Best Day in Two Weeks as Oil Prices Advance · livemint.com

Imagine currencies are players in a game.

The dollar scored its best day in two weeks.

This happened because oil got more expensive.

Oil got more expensive because a deal was reported.

The deal would stop some ships from passing through a very important waterway called the Strait of Hormuz.

When ships cannot pass, fuel costs more, and people worry prices will go up.

When people worry about prices going up, some think the central bank might raise interest rates.

Rising energy costs also made the dollar stronger against other money, so currencies like Japan's yen became weaker, crossing 158 yen per dollar.

Investors are watching closely and waiting to see what the US jobs report says on Friday.

Key facts

Dollar index move
+0.2% on Thursday, biggest gain since July 23
Oil benchmark
Brent crude, rallied on reported Strait of Hormuz deal
Dollar gain since US attack on Iran
1.5% since late February
Yen level
Beyond 158 per US dollar, first time in nearly a week
Fed rate outlook
Possible interest-rate hike in September
US productivity
Accelerated faster than expected in Q2, per the Bureau of Labor Statistics
Market positioning
One-day dollar option costs highest since July 30; traders await Friday's jobs report

Quotes

Paresh Upadhyaya

Strategist at Pioneer Investments

““With tensions elevated, investors are immediately beginning to price higher global inflation risk,””
livemint.com
““Solid US productivity growth is giving the dollar a fresh tailwind,””
livemint.com

Sources

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