3 weeks ago

Emerging Currencies Weaken as US-Iran Standoff Lifts Dollar

Emerging Currencies Weaken as US-Iran Standoff Lifts Dollar
Emerging Currencies Weaken as US-Iran Standoff Lifts Dollar · livemint.com

Money isn't just paper and coins — countries have different kinds of money, called currencies.

The United States and Iran are in a big disagreement right now.

Because of this, people who buy and sell oil worry that oil will be hard to get, so the price of oil jumped.

When oil costs more, the money of many other countries becomes worth less compared to the US dollar.

That is what happened on Monday to the money of South Korea, Hungary, Brazil, South Africa and other countries.

The US dollar got stronger, partly from Middle East worries and partly because everyone is waiting for fresh numbers about how fast prices are rising in the US.

Last week, the US reported a surprise: some jobs were cut in July.

Now traders are watching a big report coming Wednesday that will show how much prices went up in America.

Meanwhile, stocks in developing countries rose a little, helped by computer-chip related companies in Taiwan.

Some people think those stocks are a bargain because they now cost less than half as much as US stocks.

Key facts

Brent crude
Rose more than 5% to above $87 per barrel on Monday
South African rand
Declined 0.3%
Biggest currency losers
South Korean won, Hungarian forint, Brazilian real
US CPI report
Due Wednesday; seen as key catalyst for the dollar and EM currencies
US jobs data
Employers unexpectedly cut jobs in July; prior months revised lower
EM vs US stock valuations
EM valuations fell below half of US equities for the first time in at least two decades
Romania credit rating
Moody's affirmed Romania's credit score on Friday, averting a possible downgrade to junk
EM equities
Rose, supported by gains in Taiwanese AI-linked shares

Quotes

Wee Khoon Chong

Senior Asia Pacific market strategist at BNY in Hong Kong

“"US CPI this week will be the key catalyst, dictating near‑term evolution of the US dollar and therefore EM currencies,"”
livemint.com
“"Middle East uncertainty continued to weigh on risk sentiment,"”
livemint.com

Sources

Related news