2 days ago

Markets Juggle Hormuz Risk, Hawkish Fed and AI Boom

Markets Juggle Hormuz Risk, Hawkish Fed and AI Boom
Markets Wake Up to a Hotter Middle East, Hawkish Fed and AI Boom That Refuses to Quit · republicworld.com

Global markets are being pulled by three big stories.

Fighting around the Strait of Hormuz has made oil more expensive and unpredictable.

The United States says it attacked Iranian launchers that could have placed mines in shipping routes, while Iran says the strait remains closed.

The new Federal Reserve chair also warned that inflation is still a problem, which could mean higher interest rates for longer.

Higher rates can make stocks less attractive, but gold is still popular as a safety asset.

At the same time, NVIDIA reported very strong growth because companies are spending heavily on artificial intelligence.

This helped technology shares, although high bond yields limit how much stock prices can rise.

India is especially sensitive because it imports a large amount of oil and is dealing with weak overall rainfall.

Analysts therefore favor carefully chosen Indian companies, especially those able to protect their profit margins.

Key facts

Brent crude
Rose back above $90 a barrel after the Larak Island strikes.
West Texas Intermediate
Traded near $86 a barrel.
September rate-hike odds
Rose from roughly one-third to above 50% after Kevin Warsh’s speech.
Gold price
Trading around $4,600-$4,650 an ounce.
Central-bank gold purchases
Reached 288.9 tonnes in the second quarter, up 62% year on year.
NVIDIA fiscal second-quarter revenue
More than doubled year on year to above $96 billion.
India rainfall
Cumulative rainfall was approximately 11%-12% below the long-period average nationally.

Sources

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