3 weeks ago
RBI chief flags banks' margin stress; lenders see little respite
Banks are like piggy banks that borrow money from people and lend it out to others.
The difference between what they earn from lending and what they pay for deposits is called their margin.
India's central bank governor said these margins have gotten smaller over the past year.
The margin for the whole banking system fell to 3.21%, down from 3.26% a year before.
Banks are paying a lot for deposits, while many people and companies want loans, so there is tough competition for money.
Some banks, like Axis Bank, think the squeeze has hit its lowest point and things will get better.
Others, like Macquarie analysts, think the next few months will be even harder.
Special foreign-currency deposits called FCNR are also making margins a little smaller.
Banks have raised the interest they pay on these deposits to as much as 6.25% to attract customers.
The central bank kept its main interest rate steady at 5.25%.
RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra flagged a decline in India's banking system margins for the year ended June 2026.
India's banking system net interest margin slipped to 3.21% in June 2026 from 3.26% a year earlier.
Axis Bank CFO Puneet Sharma said the bank believes NIMs have hit a cycle bottom, while Macquarie's Suresh Ganapathy expects greater pressure in Q2.
HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank hiked FCNR deposit rates, now offering up to 6.25% returns.
The RBI's monetary policy committee kept the repo rate unchanged at 5.25%.
- Who
- Reserve Bank of India Governor Sanjay Malhotra and major Indian lenders including Axis Bank, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, State Bank of India, Bank of Baroda and IndusInd Bank.
- What
- India's banking system net interest margins have declined, and lenders expect the pressure on margins to continue.
- Where
- India
- When
- For the year ended June 2026, with commentary from Q1 FY27 earnings calls in July and August 2026.
- Why
- High deposit costs, strong credit growth outpacing deposit growth, lower-yielding corporate loans, and FCNR(B) deposit flows have squeezed bank margins.
Cycle Bottom
More Pressure Ahead
Net interest margin outlook
Cycle Bottom
Axis Bank CFO Puneet Sharma believes Q1 marked a cycle bottom for NIMs and expects the trajectory to improve from here.
More Pressure Ahead
Macquarie Capital's Suresh Ganapathy says Q1 was not the bottom and expects greater pressure in Q2 because FCNR deposits are not cheap; ICICI Bank expects margins to stay range-bound through the fiscal year.
Key facts
- Banking system NIM (June 2026)
- 3.21%
- Banking system NIM (year earlier)
- 3.26%
- RBI policy repo rate
- 5.25%
- Axis Bank Q1 FY27 NIM
- 3.46%
- State Bank of India Q1 FY27 NIM
- 2.86%
- State Bank of India FY27 NIM guidance
- 3%
- Top FCNR deposit rates (HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank)
- Up to 6.25%
- Q1 FY27 bank operating expense growth (CareEdge)
- 3.9%
Quotes
Sanjay Malhotra
Governor of the Reserve Bank of India
“"It is too early to assess the impact of FCNR flows, but any benefit on cost of funds from repricing of high-cost bulk deposits could be offset by margin dilution owing to leverage offered against such deposits."”
livemint.com
“"We believe this is a cycle bottom as far as NIMs are concerned. So, we are hopeful that from here on you will see the NIMs journey moving in the right direction."”
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