2 weeks ago

Antique Favors Large Private Banks as FCNR Deposits Ease Rates

Antique Favors Large Private Banks as FCNR Deposits Ease Rates
HDFC Bank, ICICI, Axis Bank, KMB: Why Antique prefers large private banks over PSU lenders · businesstoday.in

Antique is a brokerage that studies banks and their share prices.

It prefers large private banks over government-owned banks.

The brokerage said a special type of foreign-currency deposit could bring in about $70 billion.

It expects this money to help steady the rupee and lower government bond yields.

Some private banks may see their profit margins fall slightly if customers borrow money to make these deposits.

However, faster balance-sheet growth and opportunities to sell more products could offset that pressure.

Banks with weaker sources of deposits may benefit from lower market interest rates.

Antique also expects management clarity at HDFC Bank and Kotak Mahindra Bank to refocus investors on their business performance.

It said mid-sized private banks could benefit from better liquidity and stable asset quality.

Overall, the brokerage believes large private banks look relatively attractive because their premium over other banks has narrowed.

Key facts

Brokerage
Antique
FCNR(B) inflows
About $70 billion expected by the end of August, according to Antique
Government bond yield
The 10-year G-sec yield softened from above 7% to 6.8%, according to the brokerage
Potential margin impact
A 3-15 basis-point dilution for some private banks offering leverage for FCNR(B) deposits
Potential beneficiaries of softer rates
IndusInd Bank, Karur Vysya Bank, City Union Bank, IDFC First Bank, HDFC Bank and Axis Bank
Valuation assessment
The premium of large private banks over PSU and mid-sized private banks has fallen to a decade-low
Additional support
Antique cited balance-sheet growth, cross-selling opportunities, improved liquidity and benign asset quality

Quotes

Antique brokerage

Financial brokerage firm

“"the FCNR(B) deposit scheme, which started on June 8, has delivered its expected outcome of about $70 billion in inflows, expected by the end of August,"”
businesstoday.in

Sources

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