Sports · American Football · 1 day ago
NFL model projects scores for Week 5 games
A projection model has published score predictions for the NFL’s Week 5 games, scheduled for Sunday, Oct.
11.
It simulated each matchup 10,000 times to produce its forecasts.
The predictions include a narrow 25-24 win for the Bears over the Packers and a 27-19 Bengals win over the Dolphins.
The model also projects the Colts to beat the Steelers 26-25.
These are forecasts, not results, and some games are expected to be close.
The Packers-Bears game has added uncertainty because quarterback Caleb Williams is listed as questionable with a hamstring injury, and Tyson Bagent could start.
The games are due to be played Sunday.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulated each Week 5 NFL matchup 10,000 times to produce score predictions.
The model projected the Jaguars to beat the Eagles 24-17 on Sunday, Oct. 11.
It predicted the Bears to beat the Packers 25-24 and the Bengals to beat the Dolphins 27-19.
Other listed predictions included the Texans over the Titans 27-18 and the Colts over the Steelers 26-25.
The article also gave betting odds and simulation estimates for how often teams would cover the spread.
- Who
- The SportsLine Projection Model made predictions for Week 5 NFL games.
- What
- It projected scores and offered betting picks for the matchups.
- When
- The games listed are scheduled for Sunday, Oct. 11, 2026.
- Where
- Not stated
- Why
- The model aims to inform NFL betting by simulating each matchup 10,000 times.
This story does not have two clearly opposing sides.
CBS Sports published its Week 5 NFL score predictions.
The listed Week 5 games are scheduled to be played.
- Model simulations
- 10,000 per matchup
- Jaguars-Eagles prediction
- Jaguars 24, Eagles 17
- Packers-Bears prediction
- Bears 25, Packers 24
- Dolphins-Bengals prediction
- Bengals 27, Dolphins 19
- Titans-Texans prediction
- Texans 27, Titans 18
- Steelers-Colts prediction
- Colts 26, Steelers 25









