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Gold, silver prices jump on MCX ahead of US CPI

Gold, silver prices jump on MCX ahead of US CPI
Gold and silver prices jump up to 1% on MCX ahead of US CPI data, Middle East conflict looms as key risk · livemint.com

Gold and silver are shiny metals that people buy to keep their money safe.

On Wednesday, 12 August, their prices went up by up to one percent in a marketplace called the MCX, where commodities like gold and silver are traded in rupees.

Prices rose because traders around the world felt hopeful and demand for gold and silver was healthy.

There is also worry in the air, though.

The United States and Iran disagree about a narrow waterway called the Strait of Hormuz, where big ships carrying oil travel.

Because of this conflict, oil prices went up to nearly $90 a barrel, and expensive oil can make other prices go up too.

Everyone is also waiting for new inflation numbers from the United States to see if prices are rising fast.

If inflation is high, the US Federal Reserve might raise interest rates, and higher rates make gold less attractive because gold does not pay interest.

So the next move in gold and silver prices depends on the new inflation data, which is due today.

Key facts

MCX gold October futures
₹1,54,700 per 10 grams (up 0.61%)
MCX silver September futures
₹2,37,749 per kg (up 0.89%)
US gold December futures
$4,474 per troy ounce (up almost 1%)
Brent crude price
Near $90 per barrel (up about 1%)
Data awaited
US Consumer Price Index (CPI), due Wednesday, 12 August
MCX gold support
₹1,52,500 per 10 grams
MCX gold resistance
₹1,56,000, then ₹1,58,600 per 10 grams
Key risk factor
Middle East conflict and possible Strait of Hormuz closure

Quotes

Jateen Trivedi

VP Research Analyst – Commodity and Currency at LKP Securities

“A sustained breakout above this resistance could further strengthen momentum and open the way towards ₹1,58,600. The positive momentum in MCX is also supported by international gold, where prices are holding near the $4,400 mark as uncertainty over a potential U.S.-Iran agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz has kept geopolitical risks and oil prices elevated.”
livemint.com
“With crude oil prices remaining elevated during July, expectations of a relatively firmer inflation reading have increased, which could keep bullion volatile. The immediate trend will depend on the CPI outcome and subsequent movement in the US dollar and yields.”
livemint.com

Sources

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