4 hrs ago

Hormuz Reopening Could Lift Indian Stocks and Gold

Hormuz Reopening Could Lift Indian Stocks and Gold
How can it impact the Indian stock market, gold prices? · livemint.com

Iran has reportedly said it could reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days.

It would do this if the United States reduces military pressure and lifts its blockade on Iranian ports.

The strait is an important route for oil and liquefied natural gas shipments.

If it reopens, more oil could reach world markets.

That could make oil cheaper for countries such as India, which imports a lot of crude.

Cheaper oil may help Indian companies and push the stock market higher.

Lower oil prices could also reduce fears that central banks will raise interest rates.

Because of this, gold prices could rise, although geopolitical news may keep them volatile.

Key facts

Reported reopening timeframe
Within seven days, subject to Iran’s conditions
Reported conditions
The United States would need to ease military pressure and lift its blockade on Iranian ports
Brent crude reaction
Fell more than 2% to around $98 per barrel after the report
Energy flows through Hormuz
About 20 million barrels of oil per day and roughly one-fifth of global LNG trade
Indian market implication
Lower crude prices could provide macroeconomic relief and support a market upswing
Oil level cited for sustained rally
Crude may need to fall below $90 per barrel and remain low
Gold forecast
MCX gold could reach ₹1,53,000–₹1,54,000 per 10 grams, with a cited range of ₹1,51,000–₹1,54,500

Quotes

V K Vijayakumar

Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Investments

“A fall in oil prices will remove the fears of rate hikes, which can drive gold prices higher. On the MCX, gold prices can rise to ₹1,53,000- ₹1,54,000 per 10 grams. For the prices to sustain gains, it has to close above ₹1,54,000.”
livemint.com
“The domestic market may see a healthy upside if the Strait is opened. Iran itself has proposed to open it if the US eases its pressure. Positive development in this direction can help the market come out of the consolidation.”
livemint.com

Sources

Related news