2 hrs ago
CLSA Favors ONGC and Oil India as Crude Tightens
CLSA is a brokerage that studies companies and oil prices.
It thinks the oil market may become tighter in the next two to three months.
Countries have been using emergency oil reserves to replace supplies affected by disruptions near the Strait of Hormuz.
Those reserves may become harder to use, so less extra oil could be available.
Asian countries may also buy more oil, especially if China increases imports.
CLSA believes this could push crude oil prices higher.
It is especially positive about ONGC and Oil India, which produce oil and gas.
ONGC has the larger possible gain in the report, while Oil India may benefit from future production and refinery growth.
These are brokerage estimates, not guarantees that the shares or oil prices will rise.
CLSA expects crude markets to tighten as strategic-reserve support weakens and Asian demand recovers.
The brokerage gives ONGC a High-Conviction Outperform rating and a Rs 405 target, implying 71% upside.
Oil India has an Outperform rating and a Rs 550 target, implying 12.4% upside.
Production growth, Mozambique development, the northeastern gas grid and Numaligarh refinery expansion are identified as potential catalysts.
CLSA says rising crude prices could benefit upstream producers while pressuring downstream companies including Indian Oil, Bharat Petroleum and Hindustan Petroleum.
- Who
- CLSA, ONGC and Oil India.
- What
- CLSA turned bullish on the two upstream oil and gas companies and forecast potential share-price upside.
- Where
- The analysis covers global crude markets, Asian demand and Indian oil and gas companies.
- When
- The assessment was published in a report dated September 2, 2026, with possible market tightening expected over the next two to three months.
- Why
- CLSA expects strategic-reserve releases to weaken, Asian imports to recover and production growth to support ONGC and Oil India.
Key facts
- ONGC target
- Rs 405, implying 71% upside according to CLSA.
- Oil India target
- Rs 550, implying 12.4% upside according to CLSA.
- ONGC rating
- High-Conviction Outperform.
- Oil India rating
- Outperform.
- Strategic-reserve support
- About 70% of the more than 1 billion-barrel supply shortfall from Strait of Hormuz countries between March and July 2026 was met through strategic-reserve releases, according to CLSA.
- Potential demand increase
- CLSA estimates normalized imports from Japan and South Korea could increase crude demand by around 1 million barrels per day.
- Brent futures spreads
- The three-month versus one-month spread was US$4.2 per barrel, while the six-month versus one-month spread was US$9.6 per barrel.










