6 days ago

CLSA Favors Three Cement Stocks, Flags Ramco Risks

CLSA Favors Three Cement Stocks, Flags Ramco Risks
CLSA’s cement sector picks with up to 27% upside · financialexpress.com

CLSA studied several cement companies and chose three as its favorites.

They are Shree Cement, Dalmia Bharat and UltraTech Cement.

CLSA thinks these companies can grow because they are adding production capacity and may manage costs well.

Shree Cement has the highest expected gain among the four companies discussed.

Dalmia Bharat is expanding quickly and wants much more capacity by 2030.

UltraTech is viewed as the strongest large cement company because of its size, market position and regional reach.

CLSA is less optimistic about Ramco Cements because it has less new capacity and is concentrated in fewer regions.

Cement demand is still growing, but higher fuel costs and weaker volumes may hurt profits in the second quarter.

Key facts

Preferred stocks
Shree Cement, Dalmia Bharat and UltraTech Cement
Highest upside
Shree Cement: 26.6% based on a Rs 30,500 target price
Dalmia Bharat view
Outperform; Rs 2,250 target price; 21.9% potential upside
UltraTech Cement view
High-Conviction Outperform; Rs 14,000 target price; 21.3% potential upside
Ramco Cements view
Underperform; Rs 750 target price; 17.1% potential downside
Demand trend
CLSA channel checks indicated 6%-8% growth across most regions
Near-term outlook
Second-quarter profitability may face pressure from higher fuel costs and weaker volumes
Later outlook
Profitability could improve in the second half if competition eases and fuel costs remain benign

Quotes

CLSA

Brokerage issuing the cement sector report

“Our target price is based on 16.0x FY28CL EV/Ebitda, largely in line with large-cap peers like UltraTech and Ambuja”
financialexpress.com
“We believe UltraTech is best positioned among the large-cap cement companies”
financialexpress.com

Sources

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