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Nuvama Sees 45% Reliance Upside From Refining Strength

Nuvama Sees 45% Reliance Upside From Refining Strength
Nuvama bullish on RIL: Predicts 45% upside as ‘golden refining era’ drives Q2 earnings · financialexpress.com

Nuvama is a brokerage that is optimistic about Reliance Industries.

It thinks Reliance could benefit because the prices of fuels like diesel and jet fuel are high compared with crude oil.

This difference is called the refining margin.

Nuvama expects these margins to remain strong because fuel supplies are tight.

It forecasts stronger profits for Reliance in the second quarter of fiscal 2027.

Reliance’s oil-to-chemicals business is expected to provide the biggest boost.

Its digital business may also grow as subscriber numbers and revenue per user increase.

However, the retail business may be slightly weaker than last year.

Nuvama also believes Reliance’s New Energy business could become an important future source of earnings.

Key facts

Brokerage view
Buy rating from Nuvama
Target price
Rs 1,766, implying about 45% upside
Q2FY27 consolidated EBITDA
Estimated at Rs 53,700 crore, up 17% year-on-year
Q2FY27 PAT
Estimated at Rs 209 billion, up 15% year-on-year
Oil-to-chemicals EBITDA
Estimated at Rs 20,700 crore, up 38% year-on-year
Digital EBITDA
Estimated at Rs 21,900 crore, up 16% year-on-year
Net debt
Reported at around Rs 1.23 trillion

Quotes

Nuvama

Brokerage firm covering Reliance Industries

“Our Golden Refining era thesis for sustainable $10+/bbl in GRM is intact.”
financialexpress.com
“Middle distillate cracks at record high; shall stay elevated.”
financialexpress.com

Sources

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