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Gold and silver plunge as Iran talks falter, yields rise

Gold and silver plunge as Iran talks falter, yields rise
Gold & Silver plunge 4%: Why falling Iran peace talks & US yield triggered selloff · financialexpress.com

Gold and silver prices fell sharply on Monday.

Talks between the United States and Iran did not produce a peace deal.

This helped push oil prices higher.

More expensive oil can increase worries about inflation.

Investors then expected the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates high for longer.

Higher interest rates and a stronger dollar usually make gold and silver less attractive.

Silver fell more than gold during the selloff.

Prices could recover if the Fed becomes less strict or Iran talks make real progress.

Key facts

COMEX gold low
$4,224.1 per ounce
COMEX gold decline
More than 2%
Silver low
$62.21 per ounce
Silver decline
Around 4%
Indian gold futures
December contract traded around 2% lower at Rs 150,600 per 10 grams
Indian silver futures
December contract traded around 2.4% lower at Rs 235,643 per kilogram
Expected Fed move
More than 68% of market participants expected a 25-basis-point rate increase in October, according to CME FedWatch

Quotes

Ashish Rajodiya

Head of Commodities at PL Capital

“The metal’s next move likely hinges on two threads converging at once: the Fed’s October rate decision, and whether the recent signs of renewed US-Iran diplomatic engagement on Hormuz firm up into an actual de-escalation. A dovish surprise from the Fed or confirmed progress on Iran talks could spark a sharp bounce toward resistance, while continued hawkish signals or a stalled Iran negotiation would likely extend the slide toward the lower support band.”
financialexpress.com
“Elevated crude prices, rather than boosting gold’s safe-haven appeal as they typically would during geopolitical stress, are instead reinforcing the case for further Fed tightening, feeding a stronger dollar and steeper yield curve that both work against non-yielding bullion.”
financialexpress.com

Sources

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