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Trump's Nobel Prospects Fall as Mark Carney Emerges Favorite

Trump's Nobel Prospects Fall as Mark Carney Emerges Favorite
Trump's Nobel Dream Takes A Hit, Mark Carney Emerges As Surprise Favourite · timesnownews.com

Donald Trump was once considered a leading candidate for a Nobel Prize.

Now, betting estimates say his chances have dropped a lot.

The change is connected to what has happened during the war in Iran.

Covers.com said Trump was the favorite last year.

It said his chances are much weaker this year.

Kalshi, another prediction market, estimates his chance is nearly zero.

Mark Carney is described in the headline as a surprise favorite.

The article does not provide further details about Carney's chances.

Key facts

Prize year
2026
Former favorite
Donald Trump was described as the favorite last year.
Current assessment
Covers.com said Trump's chance of winning is near zero.
Prediction market
Kalshi was cited as offering a more realistic representation of Trump's chances.
Reported factor
Developments in the war in Iran were linked to the decline.
Surprise favorite
Mark Carney is identified in the headline as an emerging favorite.

Quotes

Covers.com

The source cited for the latest Nobel Prize odds update.

“He may well have decent odds at sports books, but Kalshi gives a more realistic representation of his chance of winning the prize in 2026. That chance is near-zero.”
timesnownews.com
“Donald Trump was the favorite to win last year, but given what's happened this year in Iran we can't see that happening again.”
timesnownews.com

Sources

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