2 weeks ago

Dollar falls as U.S. retail sales unexpectedly drop in July

Dollar falls as U.S. retail sales unexpectedly drop in July
Dollar falls on surprise drop in US retail sales · livemint.com

People around the world use the United States dollar to buy and sell things.

A new report showed that Americans spent less money in stores in July than experts expected.

When people spend less, it can be a sign that the economy is slowing down.

This news made the dollar weaker compared to other money, like the euro in Europe and the pound in Britain.

Many experts now think the Federal Reserve, which helps manage the U.S. economy, will wait to raise interest rates.

In Japan, the yen got a little stronger, and the Bank of Japan may raise its rates as soon as September.

There are also worries about tensions between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz, which pushed oil prices higher.

All of this shows that traders are uncertain about how fast big economies around the world are growing.

Key facts

U.S. retail sales (July)
Down 0.6%, versus a forecast 0.1% rise
Dollar index
99.67, down 0.25%
Euro vs. dollar
$1.1564, up 0.32%; high of $1.1585, highest since June 17
Sterling vs. dollar
$1.353, up 0.33%; high of $1.3561, highest since May 12
September Fed hike probability
31%
December Fed hike probability
69%
Yen per dollar
159.37, up 0.08%
Bank of Japan interest rate
1%, a 31-year high

Quotes

Ralf Preusser

Lead analyst at Bank of America, FX and rates sentiment survey

“"We are clearly having signs of poor consumption," said Juan Perez, director of trading at Monex USA in Washington. "This evidence is clearly showing that there is an economic slowdown in the United States."”
livemint.com
“"The recent interventions have failed to turn JPY sentiment around. On the contrary, JPY bearishness increased considerably over the past month, reaching four-year highs."”
livemint.com

Sources

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