3 days ago
India Growth Seen Strong in 2026 Before Moderating
India’s economy is expected to grow quickly over the next few years.
Allianz Research predicts growth of 7.5% in 2026.
It expects growth to slow to 7.1% in 2027 and 6.8% in 2028.
India would still be one of the fastest-growing large economies.
Prices are expected to rise more quickly in 2027.
Inflation is forecast to reach 5.2% that year before falling in 2028.
Because of inflation and other pressures, India may make borrowing more expensive later in 2026.
The outlook depends on energy prices, bond markets and investment connected to artificial intelligence.
Allianz Research forecasts India’s GDP growth at 7.5% in 2026, unchanged from 2025.
Growth is projected to moderate to 7.1% in 2027 and 6.8% in 2028.
India is expected to remain among the fastest-growing major economies despite weaker global growth.
Consumer price inflation is forecast to rise from 4.7% in 2026 to 5.2% in 2027 before easing to 4.2% in 2028.
India and South Korea are expected to enter monetary tightening cycles in the fourth quarter of 2026.
- Who
- India and Allianz Research.
- What
- India’s economic growth is forecast to remain strong but moderate from 2026 through 2028.
- Where
- India, within a global economy where Asia is expected to remain the main growth engine.
- When
- The projections cover 2026, 2027 and 2028; monetary tightening is expected in the fourth quarter of 2026.
- Why
- Growth is expected to moderate as inflation rises and monetary conditions become tighter.
Key facts
- India GDP growth, 2026
- 7.5%
- India GDP growth, 2027
- 7.1%
- India GDP growth, 2028
- 6.8%
- India inflation, 2026
- 4.7%
- India inflation, 2027
- 5.2%
- India inflation, 2028
- 4.2%
- Expected tightening cycle
- India and South Korea, fourth quarter of 2026










