Business · Economy · 11 hrs ago
Brazil vehicle sales forecast to reach a 12-year high in 2026
Brazil’s vehicle makers’ association, Anfavea, expects 3.099 million new vehicles to be registered in 2026.
That would be 15.2% more than in 2025 and the highest sales total since 2014.
The new forecast is higher than its earlier estimate of 3.014 million.
Cars and light commercial vehicles are expected to drive the increase, while sales of trucks and buses are forecast to fall 6.5%.
Through September, vehicle registrations were up 18.1% from the same period in 2025, even though production fell slightly from August to September.
Electric and hybrid models are also gaining ground, making up 20.1% of new light-vehicle registrations.
Anfavea expects production to exceed 2.8 million vehicles this year, but exports are forecast to fall as imports rise.
Brazil’s vehicle makers’ association raised its 2026 sales forecast to 3.099 million vehicles, the highest level since 2014.
The forecast is 15.2% above 2025 sales and higher than the previous estimate of 3.014 million.
Growth is expected to be driven mainly by cars and light commercial vehicles, while sales of trucks and buses are forecast to fall.
New-vehicle registrations rose 15.7% year on year in September, even as production declined 1.1% from August.
Electrified vehicles are also contributing to market growth, with their share reaching 20.1% of new light-vehicle registrations.
- Who
- The National Association of Motor Vehicle Manufacturers (Anfavea) revised its forecast.
- What
- Brazil’s 2026 vehicle sales are forecast to reach 3.099 million units, the highest level since 2014.
- When
- The forecast was reported on October 11, 2026.
- Where
- Brazil.
- Why
- The forecast was raised amid strong sales growth, especially for cars and light commercial vehicles. Electrified vehicles are also helping drive the market.
This story does not have two clearly opposing sides.
No direct quotes in the coverage so far.
Brazil registered 2.26 million vehicles, up 18.1% from the same period in 2025.
New-vehicle registrations reached 281,400, up 15.7% year on year, while production fell 1.1% from August.
Estadão reported that Anfavea had raised its 2026 sales forecast to 3.099 million vehicles.
- 2026 sales forecast
- 3.099 million vehicles
- Growth from 2025
- 15.2%
- Previous forecast
- 3.014 million vehicles
- September registrations
- 281,400 vehicles
- Electrified share
- 20.1% of new light-vehicle registrations
Sources
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