Business · Economy · 1 day ago
Mexico’s medical costs are forecast to rise 13.7% in 2027
Aon forecasts that medical costs in Mexico will rise 13.7% in 2027, down from 14.8% in 2026.
That would be higher than the 10.4% average forecast for Latin America and the Caribbean, and far above Mexico’s expected general inflation rate of 3.4%.
The forecast measures expected increases in the cost of covered medical treatments and services, not the increase in every health insurance premium.
Still, high medical costs have contributed to rising premiums in Mexico, which have increased by an average of 23% in recent years and by as much as 80% in some cases, according to sector data.
Mexico’s insurance regulator has reported that one million major medical insurance policies were canceled.
Aon points to conditions such as cardiovascular disease, cancer, hypertension and diabetes, as well as more expensive prescription drugs, as factors driving medical costs worldwide.
The forecast indicates that costs in Mexico will remain under pressure in 2027, even as global medical cost growth is expected to ease.
Mexico’s gross medical cost trend is forecast to reach 13.7% in 2027, according to Aon.
The forecast is below the 14.8% expected for 2026 but remains above the Latin America and Caribbean average of 10.4%.
Mexico’s projected rate is 3.3 percentage points higher than the regional average and well above the country’s forecast general inflation of 3.4%.
Aon estimates Mexico’s net medical trend, after accounting for general inflation, at 10.3% in 2027.
The medical trend measures expected increases in unit costs for treatments and medical services covered by employer health plans, and does not directly predict premium increases for all health insurance policies.
- Who
- Aon issued the forecast for Mexico.
- What
- Mexico’s gross medical cost trend is forecast to be 13.7% in 2027.
- When
- The forecast is for 2027; the article was published on October 10, 2026.
- Where
- Mexico.
- Why
- Medical costs are pressured by factors including cardiovascular disease, cancer, hypertension, diabetes, obesity and rising medicine costs.
This story does not have two clearly opposing sides.
No direct quotes in the coverage so far.
This story does not have a timeline yet.
- Mexico’s gross medical trend forecast
- 13.7% in 2027
- Mexico’s gross medical trend forecast
- 14.8% in 2026
- Latin America and Caribbean average
- 10.4% in 2027
- Mexico’s general inflation forecast
- 3.4% in 2027
- Mexico’s net medical trend forecast
- 10.3% in 2027
Sources
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