Politics · Canada · 7 hrs ago
Brexit scholar sees parallels as Alberta approaches referendum
Brexit researcher Ian Cooper visited a pro-independence town hall in Rimbey, central Alberta, in August.
Cooper, who grew up in Alberta, works at Dublin City University’s Brexit Institute and studies the effects of Britain leaving the European Union.
He sees similarities between Alberta’s debate and Britain’s Brexit campaign, including promises that independence would bring benefits without serious costs.
Cooper said the difficulties of Brexit became clearer only after Britain voted to leave the EU.
Alberta voters will choose on Oct.
19 whether to stay in Canada or hold a second binding referendum on separation.
Alberta Prosperity Project chief executive Mitch Sylvestre said he does not see the Brexit vote as a useful comparison, arguing the province has resources and can be self-sufficient.
The cost estimates for creating an independent Alberta differ sharply, ranging from $5 billion in one-time expenses from a pro-independence group to $50 billion to $170 billion over five years in a University of Calgary estimate.
Those estimates concern the cost of establishing a new country, and the university said the long-term costs would be highly unpredictable.
Brexit scholar Ian Cooper says Alberta’s independence campaign reminds him of the campaign to leave the European Union.
Cooper travelled to a pro-independence town hall in Rimbey, Alberta, in August.
He said the campaign’s promises of benefits without downsides echoed the British “Leave” campaign.
Alberta Prosperity Project CEO Mitch Sylvestre rejected the comparison and said Alberta would be self-sufficient.
On Oct. 19, Albertans are to choose between staying in Canada and holding a second binding referendum on separation.
- Who
- Ian Cooper, a senior research fellow at Dublin City University’s Brexit Institute, and Mitch Sylvestre, CEO of the Alberta Prosperity Project.
- What
- Cooper sees parallels between Alberta’s independence campaign and the Brexit campaign. Sylvestre says he does not see the vote as analogous.
- When
- Cooper visited the town hall in August; Albertans are to vote on Oct. 19.
- Where
- Rimbey, in central Alberta, and Alberta.
- Why
- Cooper says campaign messaging resembles the British “Leave” campaign; Sylvestre says Alberta’s resources make it self-sufficient.
Ian Cooper
Mitch Sylvestre
Comparison with Brexit
Ian Cooper
Alberta’s campaign messaging echoes the British “Leave” campaign, Cooper said.
Mitch Sylvestre
Sylvestre said he does not see the Brexit vote as analogous to Alberta’s referendum.
Economic prospects
Ian Cooper
Cooper said independence campaigners can promise benefits without downsides, while the difficulties may become clear only after a vote.
Mitch Sylvestre
Sylvestre said Alberta is resource-rich and would keep producing as long as there is a market, adding that he believes it will be fine.
A research institute was set up in Dublin to study the effects of the United Kingdom’s withdrawal from the European Union.
Ian Cooper travelled to a town hall hosted by the Alberta Prosperity Project in Rimbey.
The University of Calgary School of Public Policy estimated that establishing a new country could cost $50 billion to $170 billion over five years.
Albertans are to choose between staying in Canada and holding a second binding referendum on separation.
- Town hall
- Rimbey, central Alberta
- Host organization
- Alberta Prosperity Project
- Cooper’s role
- Senior research fellow at Dublin City University’s Brexit Institute
- Possible establishment cost
- $50 billion to $170 billion over five years, estimated by the University of Calgary School of Public Policy
- Vote date
- Oct. 19
What people are saying
They can make all kinds of wild promises about how everything’s going to be wonderful if you vote for independence, and if Alberta becomes an independent country, it’ll be all upsides and no downsides
We’re very resource-rich here. And as long as there’s a market for what we produce, we’ll keep producing it