Business · Economy · 7 hrs ago
IMF sees Mexico’s growth rising to 1.8% in 2027, partly on AI exports
The International Monetary Fund expects Mexico’s economy to grow by 1.5% in 2026 and 1.8% in 2027, after growth of 0.6% in 2025.
The forecast for 2027 partly depends on Mexico continuing to supply goods used in technology and artificial intelligence supply chains.
Mexico has become an expanding supplier of computer equipment used in data centres, according to analysts at S&P Global.
In the first half of 2026, exports of this equipment reached $82.9 billion, up 172.1% from a year earlier.
S&P Global said these exports could exceed shipments of cars and auto parts as soon as 2026.
The IMF also expects investment in Mexico to stabilise, but says uncertainty over trade will remain.
A Mexican economist said lasting growth from the technology shift will require moving into activities that create more value.
The International Monetary Fund expects Mexico’s economy to grow 1.8% in 2027, partly supported by exports linked to artificial intelligence value chains.
The forecast assumes investment in Mexico stabilizes, while the IMF says trade uncertainty will persist.
The IMF also forecasts 1.5% growth in 2026, up from its July estimate of 1.2%.
Mexico’s economy grew 0.6% in 2025, according to the article.
Analysts say Mexico’s growing exports of computer equipment used in data centers could help support the outlook.
- Who
- The International Monetary Fund issued the forecasts.
- What
- It expects Mexico’s GDP to grow 1.8% in 2027, partly supported by exports linked to AI value chains.
- When
- The forecast was reported on October 13, 2026.
- Where
- The IMF report was presented in Bangkok, Thailand.
- Why
- The IMF cited potential support from technology exports and stabilizing investment, while noting that trade uncertainty will persist.
This story does not have two clearly opposing sides.
The IMF had forecast Mexico’s 2026 growth at 1.2% and its 2027 growth at 1.9%.
The IMF’s updated forecasts put Mexico’s growth at 1.5% in 2026 and 1.8% in 2027.
- 2025 GDP growth
- 0.6%
- 2026 GDP growth forecast
- 1.5%
- 2027 GDP growth forecast
- 1.8%
- Computer equipment exports, first half of 2026
- $82.9 billion
- Annual increase in computer equipment exports
- 172.1%
What people are saying
trade uncertainty will persist
it remains to be seen whether this positive demand shock will turn into a positive supply shock in the long term by generating faster productivity growth
The possibility of joining this reconfiguration opens an opportunity to attract projects and replace some of the investments that are currently in Asia.
Sources
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