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Tata Power Upgrade Follows Kleros Ruling, With Risks Remaining
Tata Power is involved in a long-running legal dispute with Kleros Capital.
A Singapore court recently upheld an arbitration award worth about $490 million in Kleros’s favour.
Tata Power disagrees with the decision and plans to appeal it.
The company has 28 days to file that appeal.
Because of the court ruling, Tata Power’s share price fell 8%.
Brokerage Nuvama nevertheless upgraded the stock from ‘HOLD’ to ‘BUY’.
Nuvama also described a downside scenario in which Tata Power pays the full liability and takes on more debt.
In that scenario, the brokerage set a target price of Rs 363 and assigned no value to two upcoming projects.
Nuvama upgraded Tata Power to ‘BUY’ from ‘HOLD’ after the stock fell 8% following the Kleros ruling.
The Singapore International Commercial Court upheld an arbitral award of approximately $490 million in favour of Kleros Capital.
Tata Power said it intends to appeal the decision within the permitted 28-day period.
Nuvama’s bear case targets Rs 363, assuming full Kleros liability and no value for the upcoming PSP and Bhutan HEP.
The brokerage estimates a Rs 20-per-share impact from the Kleros liability and Rs 17 from additional debt.
- Who
- Tata Power, Kleros Capital, and brokerage Nuvama are the main parties mentioned.
- What
- A Singapore court upheld an approximately $490 million arbitral award against Tata Power, while Nuvama upgraded the stock to ‘BUY’.
- Where
- The legal proceedings and latest ruling involved the Singapore International Commercial Court and Singapore-related arbitration proceedings.
- When
- The latest court ruling came after the stock fell 8% since the previous week; Tata Power said it would appeal within 28 days.
- Why
- The ruling could create financial implications for Tata Power if the award remains enforceable, while Nuvama reassessed the stock after its decline.
Brokerage Risk Assessment
Tata Power’s Legal Position
Potential arbitration liability
Brokerage Risk Assessment
Nuvama assumes Tata Power could lose its final appeal and incur the full $640 million liability, estimating a Rs 20-per-share impact.
Tata Power’s Legal Position
Tata Power is continuing to contest the award and has said it intends to appeal the Singapore court’s decision.
Financial impact
Brokerage Risk Assessment
Nuvama assumes Tata Power may take on Rs 5,000 crore of incremental debt to fund its FY30 targets after arbitration-related cash outflows, implying a Rs 17-per-share impact.
Tata Power’s Legal Position
Tata Power has not accepted the award as final and is expected to pursue available legal remedies before its financial consequences are settled.
Valuation and projects
Brokerage Risk Assessment
In its bear case, Nuvama assigns no value to the upcoming PSP and Bhutan HEP and sets a target price of Rs 363.
Tata Power’s Legal Position
The article does not provide Tata Power’s valuation view on those projects or a separate company target price.
Key facts
- Brokerage action
- Nuvama upgraded Tata Power to ‘BUY’ from ‘HOLD’.
- Stock movement
- Tata Power shares had fallen 8% since the adverse Kleros arbitration ruling the previous week.
- Court decision
- The Singapore International Commercial Court upheld the majority arbitral award.
- Award cited
- The upheld award was approximately $490 million in favour of Kleros Capital.
- Bear-case target
- Nuvama’s bear-case target price is Rs 363.
- Assumed liability
- Nuvama’s downside scenario assumes Tata Power incurs the full $640 million liability.
- Additional debt assumption
- The scenario assumes Rs 5,000 crore of incremental debt by the end of FY28.
Quotes
Nuvama
Brokerage that upgraded Tata Power’s rating and provided the bear-case analysis
“We are assuming Tata Power could lose the final appeal and incur the full $640 mn liability, while also taking Rs 5000 crore of incremental debt to fund its FY30E targets due to arbitration cash outgo. Kleros liability: Rs 20/share impact—assumes the full $640mn liability. Higher debt: Rs 17/share impact—Rs 5000 crore of incremental debt by FY28-end to support the planned capex.”
businesstoday.in
Sources
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