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Average US Salary Budgets to Rise Just 0.1% in 2027

Average US Salary Budgets to Rise Just 0.1% in 2027
US salary budgets set to rise just 0.1% in 2027: Why bigger raises may remain elusive · financialexpress.com

Companies in the United States are planning to give their workers slightly bigger raises next year, but just a tiny bit.

The average raise budget is expected to go from 3.4% to 3.5%, which means for every $100 someone earns, the extra money would rise from about $3.40 to $3.50.

Many companies give everyone the same size raise, which experts call 'peanut butter pay,' because the increase is spread out evenly like peanut butter on bread.

About one in four companies say they are losing workers because their raises aren't big enough.

Fewer people are quitting their jobs these days, a trend called 'The Great Stay.'

Some workers are so worried about finding a new job that they stay even when they're unhappy, which is called 'job hugging.'

But people who do change jobs often get much bigger raises, around $7 for every $100, compared with about $4.40 for people who stay.

Different industries get different amounts, with Business Services and Legal Services planning bigger increases than Technology, and New York leads the states at 3.6%.

Consultants at Deloitte and J.P. Morgan say the job market is improving but not booming, and one economist calls it 'moderating, not collapsing.'

Companies feel more hopeful than they did last year, but they are still being careful about how much extra money they give.

Key facts

Average 2027 salary increase budget
3.5%
Average 2026 salary increase budget
3.4%
Organizations losing employees due to pay (2026)
25%
Employers giving across-the-board raises in 2026
36%
Employers expecting higher 2027 budgets
30% (up from 16% a year earlier)
Employers expecting lower 2027 budgets
8% (down from 16% a year earlier)
Job switchers vs stayers pay increase
7% vs 4.4% year over year (ADP)
2027 state expectations
New York 3.6%; California and Florida 3.5%; Texas and Washington 3.4%

Quotes

Joe Seydl

Senior Markets Economist at J.P. Morgan

“The labour market is “moderating, not collapsing”, with hiring remaining stable and wage growth contained.”
financialexpress.com

Sources

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