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Telangana Faces Worsening Rainfall Deficits and Warmer Months Ahead
Telangana did not get as much rain as usual during the southwest monsoon.
By October 9, more districts had less rain than normal than at the end of September.
Only Medak and Siddipet had received more than their usual annual rainfall.
Experts say the coming months may be warmer than usual, and dry weather could continue.
Some places in the east and south might still get rain.
But that depends on weather systems forming and moving in the right way.
So forecasters say rain is possible, but they cannot count on it.
Telangana ended the southwest monsoon season on September 30 with rainfall 17% below normal.
By October 9, 21 districts were in the annual rainfall-deficit category, up from 18 on September 30.
Medak and Siddipet were the only districts with positive annual rainfall deviations, at 3% and 5%, respectively.
Forecasters expect warmer-than-normal conditions, with maximum temperatures at least 1°C above normal in coming months.
Some rain may reach eastern and southern Telangana, but it depends on uncertain northeast monsoon activity and Bay of Bengal weather systems.
- Who
- Telangana and its districts; meteorologists and a climate scientist provided the outlook.
- What
- Rainfall deficits are spreading, while forecasters expect warmer-than-normal conditions and uncertain prospects for rain.
- Where
- Telangana, with possible rain particularly in its eastern and southern areas.
- When
- The rainfall season began June 1; the southwest monsoon ended September 30, and district figures were reported as of October 9.
- Why
- The article attributes the rainfall shortfall to the continuing impact of this year's El Niño and says future rain depends on northeast monsoon activity and possible Bay of Bengal weather systems.
Rainfall remains a possibility
Deficits and dry conditions are expected
Prospects for rain
Rainfall remains a possibility
A meteorologist said the northeast monsoon could bring rain to parts of eastern and southern Telangana, and Bay of Bengal depressions could also contribute if they form, strengthen, and move favorably.
Deficits and dry conditions are expected
The article says significant rainfall prospects are limited, and a climate scientist expects below-average rain in the coming months, with more districts potentially entering the deficit category.
Key facts
- Southwest monsoon rainfall deviation
- 17% below normal at the season's end on September 30
- Deficit districts
- 21 as of October 9, compared with 18 on September 30
- Positive rainfall deviations
- Medak: +3%; Siddipet: +5%
- Temperature outlook
- Maximum temperatures expected to be at least 1°C above normal in coming months
- Rainfall outlook
- Some rain is possible in eastern and southern Telangana, but prospects are uncertain
- Rainfall season
- Began June 1
- Potential weather-system source
- Bay of Bengal, including systems that may form near the Andaman and Nicobar Islands
Quotes
Unnamed meteorologist
A meteorologist commenting on temperatures and dry weather in Telangana.
“The post southwest monsoon season normally sees some depressions forming over the Bay, but the direction they take can depend on where they form. If they form near the Andamans, and if they gain strength, and if they make landfall at a location from where their subsequent movement as depressions brings clouds over Telangana, then we could see some rains.”
deccanchronicle.com
“It is not that all hope is lost. There might still be some rains in some parts of the state, particularly in the east and south, but this is a big if. While the northeast monsoon may bring some rain to these regions, everything else depends on what brews in the Bay of Bengal near the Andaman and Nicobar Islands.”
deccanchronicle.com
Sources
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