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Australian Property Stocks Face Risks After Bathla Collapse

Australian Property Stocks Face Risks After Bathla Collapse
Australian Property Stocks Vulnerable Following Bathla Collapse · livemint.com

Australian property companies are having a difficult year.

Their shares have fallen while property companies in other developed countries have generally risen.

Interest rates have gone up three times, making borrowing more expensive.

Fewer home sales and higher building costs are also hurting developers.

Bathla Group, a private developer, recently became insolvent, showing how difficult the market has become.

Analysts do not expect the collapse to spread widely to listed developers because their businesses operate differently.

However, larger companies such as Stockland and Mirvac Group may benefit if they can build homes that Bathla can no longer complete.

Overall, analysts expect property-company earnings to remain under pressure.

Key facts

Australian property-stock performance
Listed Australian real estate shares have fallen 15% this year.
Developed-market comparison
Bloomberg’s developed-markets real estate index has gained 7%.
Interest rates
The Reserve Bank of Australia has delivered three consecutive rate hikes this year.
Expected earnings
Morningstar forecasts a 5% decline in property-sector earnings in FY27.
Bathla Group
The private developer entered insolvency, reducing or delaying the pipeline of new homes.
Affected company
Centuria Capital Group shares fell more than 10% in late August after Bathla’s insolvency.
Potential beneficiaries
Stockland and Mirvac Group may capture market share from disrupted housing projects.

Quotes

Yingqi Tan

Analyst at Morningstar Inc.

“It wasn’t a glorious 2026, and we don’t expect FY27 to be glorious”
livemint.com

Romano Sala Tenna

Portfolio manager at Perth-based Katana Asset Management

“Suddenly, you’ve had thousands of homes taken out of the market or slowed down, and someone’s got to step in and fill that”
livemint.com

Stephen Hayes

Head of global property securities at First Sentier Investors

“It is extremely difficult to build. Not too much needs to go wrong for developers to come under financial pressure.”
livemint.com

Sources

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