3 weeks ago

Nifty-Gold Ratio Narrows to 1.6, Signaling Possible Stock Rally

Nifty-Gold Ratio Narrows to 1.6, Signaling Possible Stock Rally
Nifty-gold ratio narrows: Could this be the start of a stock market rally? · livemint.com

Imagine you have two piggy banks: one for stocks and one for gold.

In India, people compare how these two piggy banks are doing using a special number called the Nifty-gold ratio.

Lately, gold has grown a lot, while stock prices have gone down a bit.

Because of this, the ratio has become 1.6, which is quite low.

Long ago, when this number was low, stocks usually became strong and went up afterward.

Some smart money experts think stocks might now be ready to catch up with gold.

But they say this number does not tell us exactly when it will happen.

They also remind us that gold can still do well, so people might not need to sell their gold.

In short, the experts think stocks have a good chance of doing better soon, but nobody knows for sure.

Key facts

Nifty-to-gold ratio
1.6
Nifty 50 close
24,584
Domestic spot gold price
₹1,50,208 per 10 grams
Gold year-to-date change
+13%
Nifty 50 year-to-date change
-6%
Nifty target (expert view)
25,000–25,200
MCX gold outlook (expert view)
₹1,60,000
Data date
August 10

Quotes

Vishnu Kant Upadhyay

AVP – Research and Advisory, Master Capital Services

“Going forward, we may see the Nifty-to-gold ratio likely consolidate at the current levels as the Nifty, as well as the gold, rally upwards. So, in that case, the ratio may stay stagnant in a range for a few days and months.”
livemint.com
“History suggests that such extreme levels may favour equities, but it is not a timing indicator.”
livemint.com

Sources

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