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More Debt Cushions Portfolio Falls but Reduces Return Potential

More Debt Cushions Portfolio Falls but Reduces Return Potential
How much debt should you hold? More debt can cushion market falls, but there is a trade-off · livemint.com

Investors can build portfolios using stocks, debt investments and gold.

Stocks may grow more over time, but their prices can fall sharply.

Debt can make those falls smaller, although it may also reduce long-term returns.

In the study, portfolios with more debt had smaller historical losses.

A portfolio with 70% stocks and 30% debt fell as much as 40% in the periods examined.

A portfolio with 30% stocks and 70% debt fell as much as 14%.

Adding gold also reduced the size of some historical falls.

The right mix depends on how much loss an investor can handle and is not guaranteed to work the same way in the future.

Key facts

70% equity, 30% debt
Average seven-year return of 13.8%; maximum drawdown of 40%.
50% equity, 50% debt
Average seven-year return of 12.5%; maximum drawdown of 27%.
30% equity, 70% debt
Average seven-year return of 10.7%; maximum drawdown of 14%.
70:15:15 portfolio
70% equity, 15% debt and 15% gold; average seven-year return of 15%; maximum drawdown of 40%.
50:25:25 portfolio
50% equity, 25% debt and 25% gold; average seven-year return of 14.2%; maximum drawdown of 27%.
30:35:35 portfolio
30% equity, 35% debt and 35% gold; average seven-year return of 13.2%; maximum drawdown of 17%.
Rebalancing
Portfolios were rebalanced annually when allocations moved beyond a 5% band.

Sources

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