3 weeks ago

Bangladesh Policy Rate Cut May Fail to Revive Private Credit

Bangladesh Policy Rate Cut May Fail to Revive Private Credit
Bangladesh’s policy rate cut may fail to address private credit slump: Report · thehansindia.com

Bangladesh's central bank, the country's main bank, made borrowing cheaper by lowering its policy rate to 9.5%.

It did this to help banks that are struggling and to get businesses to borrow more.

But a report from Asia Times says this might not work.

Businesses are borrowing very little right now—in May, loans to private companies grew only about 5% compared with last year.

That is a slow pace for a country that wants to grow quickly.

Meanwhile, loans to the government grew by more than 20%.

Nearly a third of all bank loans are not being paid back, which makes banks scared to lend.

The World Bank says the banking system's safety cushion is in negative territory.

The report says the real problem is not the cost of borrowing money, but that businesses do not have good reasons to borrow, such as reliable electricity and gas.

So cheaper loans alone may not fix the problem.

Key facts

Policy rate
9.5% after a 50-basis-point cut
Private credit growth (May, YoY)
4.98%
Private credit growth (year earlier)
7.17%
Public sector credit growth
20.78%
Non-performing loans
Nearly 5.89 lakh crore taka ($47.65 billion), over 32% of total outstanding loans
Capital-to-risk-weighted-assets ratio
-2.6% by end-2025 (World Bank estimate)
Report source
Asia Times (Hong Kong-based)

Quotes

Asia Times

Hong Kong-based media outlet reporting on Bangladesh’s monetary policy

“"Aggregate liquidity masks deep institutional fragility, leaving weak banks incapable of extending productive credit regardless of central bank policy."”
thehansindia.com
“"Lowering central-bank funding costs is intended to reduce commercial lending rates and render stalled capital projects viable once again."”
thehansindia.com

Sources

Related news