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Major Money Managers Rebuild Gold Positions After Price Drop

Major Money Managers Rebuild Gold Positions After Price Drop
World’s biggest money managers are rebuilding gold positions · thehindubusinessline.com

Large investment companies are buying gold again after its price fell.

They think gold can protect portfolios when markets or currencies become uncertain.

Some managers believe gold could reach $5,000 per ounce by the end of the year.

However, gold does not pay interest, so it can become less attractive when interest rates and government bond yields rise.

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh recently warned that US inflation was not slowing enough.

This made investors expect that interest rates might rise.

Gold’s supporters say central banks are buying more of it and investors want to spread their money across more assets.

Other managers caution that gold’s rise may be uneven and that worries about the dollar may be overstated.

Key facts

Recent gold price
Bullion was trading near $4,400 an ounce in London on September 5.
Amundi forecast
Amundi expects gold to return to $5,000 an ounce by year-end.
Recent price retreat
Gold fell from an all-time high near $5,600 an ounce in January to about $4,000 in June.
Central-bank buying
Central banks made net purchases of 289 tons in the second quarter, according to the World Gold Council.
Investor positioning
Funds’ net-long gold position reached its highest level of the year in the week ended August 25.
Key market pressure
Higher Treasury yields and expectations for at least one Federal Reserve rate hike before year-end are weighing on gold.
Portfolio recommendation
Ray Dalio said investors should consider putting as much as 15% of their money in gold to hedge against a potential US debt crisis.

Quotes

Lorenzo Portelli

Head of cross-asset strategy at the Amundi Investment Institute

“The downdraft to $4,000, if you didn’t own it already, was a very good buying time”
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“Gold is an asset that we consider to be cheap, a good hedge and reasonably liquid”
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Arnout van Rijn

Portfolio manager for multi-asset and equity solutions at Robeco

“It’s become a much more acceptable asset. It’s become part and parcel of every regular or normal portfolio.”
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Sources

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