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India’s Solar Manufacturing Race Targets 90% Localisation by 2030

India’s Solar Manufacturing Race Targets 90% Localisation by 2030
India’s $140 million/GW solar race: Why Jefferies expects 90% localisation by 2030 · financialexpress.com

India wants to make more of its solar equipment inside the country.

New rules first required certain projects to use approved Indian-made modules.

Later rules required those modules to use Indian-made solar cells.

A planned 2028 rule will also require Indian-made wafers and ingots.

Building all these factories is expensive, costing about $140 million for each gigawatt of integrated capacity.

This may help large companies with strong finances more than smaller companies.

Solar cells are currently in short supply, which is helping cell manufacturers earn stronger margins.

Solar power combined with batteries is also becoming cheaper than some thermal power.

Jefferies expects India to localise about 90% of its solar manufacturing value chain by 2030, although polysilicon is excluded.

Key facts

Integrated capacity cost
About $140 million for 1 gigawatt from ingot to cell
India module capacity
156 gigawatts
India cell capacity
35 gigawatts
Projected cell capacity
About 130 gigawatts by the end of calendar year 2027
Expected localisation
Close to 90% of the solar manufacturing value chain by 2030
Solar-plus-storage tariff
Rs 4.5–5 per unit, compared with Rs 5.8–6.3 per unit for marginal thermal power
Polysilicon status
No near-term government mandate for ALMM eligibility

Sources

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