3 weeks ago
Kaynes Technology: Brokerages Split on Upside and Cash Concerns
Kaynes Technology is a company that builds electronic parts and gadgets for other businesses.
It is growing very quickly — in the last three months it earned more money than before.
But some people who study companies, called analysts, cannot agree on whether its stock is a good investment.
One team, Motilal Oswal, says the company's shares could go up by about 30%.
Other teams, like Nuvama, Nomura and JM Financial, are worried.
They say the company is spending lots of money and owes more money than before.
Imagine a lemonade stand that sells lots of lemonade but has to buy lemons before customers pay — until the money comes back, it looks cash poor.
The company is also building big new businesses for computer chips and circuit boards, which costs a lot of money.
So some experts say wait and watch, while one says keep buying.
Motilal Oswal retained a 'Buy' rating on Kaynes Technology with a target price of Rs 5,000, implying roughly 30% upside.
Nuvama downgraded the stock to 'Reduce' with a target of Rs 3,450, citing higher working capital and rising debt.
Nomura kept a 'Neutral' rating (target Rs 4,094) and JM Financial kept 'Reduce' (target Rs 3,850), both flagging cash-flow worries.
Q1FY27 EBITDA rose 31% year-on-year to Rs 150 crore, with the core EMS business growing 48%, while PAT fell 24%.
Net working capital rose to Rs 2,400 crore and net debt to Rs 800 crore (per Nuvama; JM Financial cited about Rs 560 crore), with OSAT and PCB commercialisation delayed to Q3FY27.
- Who
- Kaynes Technology, an electronic manufacturing services (EMS) company, and brokerages Motilal Oswal, Nuvama, Nomura and JM Financial.
- What
- Brokerages issued mixed ratings and target prices for Kaynes Technology after its Q1FY27 results, debating whether strong growth can convert into cash.
- Where
- India, where Kaynes Technology is listed on the stock market.
- When
- After Q1FY27 (June quarter) results, with the order book reported as of June 2026.
- Why
- Robust revenue growth is offset by rising working capital, higher debt and delays in OSAT and PCB commercialisation, splitting analyst opinion.
Cautious Brokerages (Nuvama, Nomura, JM Financial)
Bullish Brokerage (Motilal Oswal)
Cash Conversion
Cautious Brokerages (Nuvama, Nomura, JM Financial)
Working capital jumped to Rs 2,400 crore, net debt rose and operating cash flow was negative; growth must translate into cash before buying.
Bullish Brokerage (Motilal Oswal)
A robust Rs 8,900 crore order book and strong EMS growth will sustain revenue momentum, making the ~30% upside worthwhile.
OSAT & PCB Expansion
Cautious Brokerages (Nuvama, Nomura, JM Financial)
Commercialisation has been pushed to Q3FY27; heavy investment and weak free cash flow could pressurise the balance sheet.
Bullish Brokerage (Motilal Oswal)
Kaynes is likely to benefit further from its OSAT and PCB businesses going forward.
Valuation After the Rally
Cautious Brokerages (Nuvama, Nomura, JM Financial)
After a sharp rally, upside is limited — Nuvama sees ~10.5% downside and Nomura only ~6% upside.
Bullish Brokerage (Motilal Oswal)
At the current market price, the stock still offers around 30% upside to the Rs 5,000 target.
Key facts
- Company
- Kaynes Technology (electronic manufacturing services)
- Motilal Oswal Rating
- Buy; target Rs 5,000 (~30% upside)
- Nuvama Rating
- Reduce; target Rs 3,450 (~10.5% downside)
- Nomura Rating
- Neutral; target Rs 4,094 (~6% upside)
- JM Financial Rating
- Reduce; target Rs 3,850 (marginal downside)
- Q1FY27 EBITDA
- Rs 150 crore, up 31% YoY; core EMS up 48% YoY
- Order Book
- Rs 8,900 crore as of June 2026, up 20%
- Working Capital & Debt
- Net working capital Rs 2,400 crore; net debt Rs 800 crore (Nuvama) vs ~Rs 560 crore (JM Financial)
Quotes
Motilal Oswal broker
Brokerage analyst at Motilal Oswal
“With a robust order book as of June 2026 (Rs 8,900 crore, up 20%), the company is likely to sustain strong revenue growth momentum going forward.”
financialexpress.com
“Structurally, regaining investor confidence and cleaning up the balance sheet are key priorities for Kaynes.”
financialexpress.com











